Since January, 2003
 (a random before-and-after moment)
July 18, 2006
October 19, 2014
Half at M, Looking North-Northeast (see more)

If you're in the mood for a spit-take with your morning coffee, this link should do it. WalletPop.com has posted what it apparently thinks is a legitimate study of the "25 Most Dangerous Neighborhoods" in the country, and coming in at #9 is.... Near Southeast???? Near Southeast, which hasn't had a murder since 20052004, and has had a grand total of seven assaults with a deadly weapon this year? And yet somehow this "exclusive data developed by Dr. Andrew Schiller's team at NeighborhoodScout.com" is predicting that there will be 240 violent crimes in the neighborhood each year. As reader A put it when passing the link along, "I think I could name at least 9 neighborhoods in DC more dangerous."
Perhaps when pulling together this clearly rigorous study they wandered by my map of the murders in Near Southeast between 1987 and 2004 and forgot to read the dates on the data. More likely is a glitch with their algorithm comparing crime reports with the size of the population (which has been pretty small in Near Southeast over the past few years). Or a mixup with addresses. But otherwise, my goodness....!
UPDATE: Further ruminations on this travesty of a mockery of a sham of a mockery of a travesty of two mockeries of a sham [ahem] from DCist and NBC4. And DC Urban Turf finds that this list has gotten into trouble in the past.
UPDATE II: Here's ABC7's video report on the story, which includes an extremely rare on-camera appearance by yours truly. As should be clear by now, if there's anything that gets me riled up, it's factual inaccuracies.
UPDATE III: And NBC4's 11 pm report. If indeed the study included number of stolen cars to consider a neighborhood "dangerous," then yes, I can see how Near SE's numbers would skew high, especially if they used 2008 crime data. (A lot of cars got stolen during the 2006-2008 era, when construction workers came to the area to build the stadium and other buildings, and there were few people on the streets during the day to act as "eyes and ears.") But still, does that make a neighborhood *dangerous*? Yeesh.
Comments (0)
 
 More About crime
 All posts: crime

JDLand.com Home

Comments

JD but not that JD says: (10/4/10 11:46 AM)
Has to be based on old data or something. I used to live in Orlando, and that area around Paramore Ave is also an area under renewal...used to be bad...and it's no Bay Hill Country Club but I'm not sure that it is that dangerous anymore. Weird.


Rob says: (10/4/10 11:56 AM)
The methodologies used to calculate these lists are almost always flawed. But it doesn't really matter to the authors, because local media in all of these cities will report this "study" at face-value and draw undeserved attention to the website.


Mark says: (10/4/10 12:12 PM)
If you follow through the math on the page describing the crime in the neighborhood (link they're using a neighborhood population of 2155. How many years ago was that true?


Mark says: (10/4/10 12:13 PM)
Sorry, here's the correct link:
link


JD says: (10/4/10 12:13 PM)
Not that long ago, probably early 2009. It's about 3,500 now.


Bruce says: (10/4/10 1:18 PM)
Sadly, ALL of the bad press, etc that is dome regarding Near Southeast (I now JD likes this) Capitol Riverfront is done by folks who have apparently NEVER stepped foot in the area.
Sad considering that this is now such a safe area. Its livable/walkable to quote Tommy Wells...

Bruce


John says: (10/4/10 1:37 PM)
They definetly took numbers from back in 2005 or probably even before when all the housing projects were still up. Look at the lifestyle sections says 97% of the neighborhood is black and only 8% are govt. employees. Have these ppl ever heard of Trinidad, Anacostia, Berry Farms, Langston terrace, SW Cappers, Mount pleasant, just to name a few hoods with prob. 75% more crime....really makes u wonder how they messed up this badly....


JD says: (10/4/10 1:41 PM)
I tried to get through to look at their methodology, but their site is down even more often than JDLand is. :-)


SW says: (10/4/10 1:54 PM)
That list is garbage. How the hell can Detroit not even have one single 'hood qualify for that list.


Mauricio says: (10/4/10 2:10 PM)
All you have to do is look at the comments section of that article to realize that most of the folks reading it are fairly insane and not anyone you'd want living in DC anyway.


Meredith says: (10/4/10 3:15 PM)
News 4 is apparently running a story on it tonight--they interviewed me outside of the EYA model homes this afternoon. Caught me off-guard but I am glad I was able to say that I don't believe police reports would support this crazy assertion about L St and the neighborhood. Gave jdland a mention too as a site we often check for neighborhood info--thanks JD for keeping us all informed!


MJM says: (10/4/10 3:52 PM)
Maybe that site/study could have used this study (linked below) that started to show the changes in 2007. But hey 'hood scout got props from Money Magazine and they are used by Harvard, UC-Berkeley, U Penn, MIT and others researching real estate so it must be true. good grief.....

link

Near -Southeast is Cluster 27


MJM says: (10/4/10 4:07 PM)
Hood Scout Report Info
link


pkp says: (10/4/10 5:18 PM)
The opening sentence of a site disclaimer at the bottom of the crime tab:

"Although we work hard to provide premium quality information, the content contained in any NeighborhoodScout Report is a work of art."


JD says: (10/4/10 5:28 PM)
Thanks for the plug, Meredith!


BW says: (10/4/10 10:30 PM)
If recent trends continue, Near Southeast's population will top Detroit's in ...


CB says: (10/4/10 10:36 PM)
News crew at corner of 4th & L. No markings on side of truck, but suppose we are going to be on the news again this evening.


Will says: (10/5/10 1:00 PM)
On balance, I think this could be a positive thing for the hood. It's usually just folks who live in the area defending it, now we have local news and blogs speaking up. Many thanks to JDLand for correcting the record.


Meredith says: (10/5/10 10:19 PM)
To compare crime just on the Hill, take PSA 105 (Navy Yard S of 395, E of S. Cap) and PSA 102 (2nd-13th NE and D St to FL Ave NE). Per crimemap.dc.gov, reports for the last year (Oct 09-Oct 10) are as follows:
Violent Crime Incidents: PSA105 = 31 PSA102 = 170 Property Crime Incidents: PSA105 = 196 PSA102 = 752.
Even adjusting for number of residents, PSA105 comes out looking better/comparable to other parts of the Hill, certainly not astronomically more dangerous. And 31 violent crimes per 3000+ residents (not including the tens of thousands we absorb every workday and game day) means a person in PSA 105 has a 1 in 100 chance of being a victim, which is a far cry from the 1 in 9 claimed.

Add a Comment:

Comments are closed for this post.

JDLand Comments RSS Feed

See All Current News Items | Full Blog Archive

 
 Top News
  
Recent Comments:  
JHUGrad on Capper 'Flexibility' Gets: @JoeNdc.... In all of the paragraphs you've written, you still haven't been able...
ZoolanderANDtheBoYz on Vote for the: I can't stand the hunger game series. But, a good list though.
JoeNdc on Capper 'Flexibility' Gets: So I waited all weekend before responding so as to be thoughtful and to see what...
conngs0 on Capper 'Flexibility' Gets: Alex B, I think you've correctly framed the discussion - especially the competin...



City Government Data for Near Southeast Records added or updated recently displayed here; click the "archive" links to see additional detail and older records. All data from DC Government databases and RSS feeds. JDLand takes no responsibility for errors, omissions, etc. (read CapStat disclaimer). Data is retrieved daily.

Recent Crime Incidents Archive  
70 B/O I ST SE   THEFT
2nd Degree
 03/01/15
100 B/O K ST SE   THEFT F/AUTO
 03/01/15
1000 B/O 5TH ST SE   THEFT F/AUTO
Theft From Auto 1
 02/28/15
400 B/O M ST SE   THEFT
2nd Degree
 02/28/15
100 B/O K ST SE   THEFT F/AUTO
Theft From Auto 1
 02/27/15
1000 B/O 4TH ST SE   THEFT F/AUTO
 02/27/15
100 B/O CANAL ST SE   THEFT
2nd Degree
 02/24/15
1300 B/O 4TH ST SE   THEFT
Theft 1 (Theft F/Building)
 02/19/15
1000 B/O 2ND ST SE   THEFT F/AUTO
 02/18/15
100 B/O K ST SE   THEFT F/AUTO
 02/06/15
UNIT B/O K ST SE   THEFT F/AUTO
 02/01/15

Active Public Space Permits Archive  
No records added or modified in the past two weeks.

Recent Issued Building Permits Archive  
1011 1ST ST SE   
02/12/15 
COLIN CLARK / MICHAEL BIANCO; COLIN CLARK; MITCH PERMUY
E98099105 / SUPPLEMENTAL
1265 1ST ST SE   
02/10/15 
CAPITAL RIVERFRONT HOTEL LLC / JOHN HOMICK
E1502866 / SUPPLEMENTAL
1000 5TH ST SE   
02/24/15 
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA HOUSING AUTHORITY / KIM MITCHELL CDKM CONSULTING LLC
B1412422 / CONSTRUCTION
NEW BUILDING PERMIT FOR NEW COMMUNITY CENTER INCLUDING STEEL STRUCTURE BRICK AND MASONRY BACKUP
1240 12TH ST SE   
02/19/15 
WASHINGTON GAS LIGHT CO / CARLTON W ROBINSON
E1503465 / SUPPLEMENTAL
909 HALF ST SE   
02/25/15 
23 I LLC C/O RELATED COMPANIES / DAVID MILLER
SB1500157 / CONSTRUCTION
INSTALLATION AND MONITORING OF 8 INCLINOMETER MONITORING SYSTEMS. THREE INCLINOMETER CASINGS TO BE INSTALLED ALONG THE K STREET BORDER OF THE PROJECT. THREE CASINGS TO BE INSTALLED ALONG THE I STREET BORDER OF THE PROJECT. TWO CASINGS TO BE INSTALLED ALONG THE HALF STREET BORDER OF THE PROJECT.
   
02/23/15 
23 I LLC C/O RELATED COMPANIES / 23 I LLC C/O RELATED COMPANIES; ANDREW DANCE
SB1500132 / CONSTRUCTION
A HOLLOW STEM AUGER WILL INSTALL UP TO 30 TEMPORARY DEWATERING WELLS BY ADVANCING A 12 OD / 8 1 / 4 ID BOREHOLE TO A DEPTH OF 65 FEET. AT DEPTH A 4 INCH PVC FLUSH JOINT THREADED WELL ASSEMBLY WILL BE SET AND SELECT FILTER PLACED. INTO EACH WELL WILL BE INSTALLED A 1 HP TURBINE SUBMERSIBLE PUMP. EFFLUENT WILL BE DIRECTED THROUGH A COMMON MANIFOLD TO A BAFFLED SETTLING TANK AND DISCHARGED TO THE LO...
1015 HALF ST SE   
02/12/15 
THOMAS AN / THOMAS AN; HYH ELECTRIC CO. INC.
SG1500156 / CONSTRUCTION
INSTALL ONE SINGLE FACE BUILDING SIGN AND ONE DOUBLE FACE BLADE SIGN
   
02/10/15 
EVAN OBRIEN / JOSEPH ABRESCH; EVAN OBRIEN; ROBERT HUNSBERGER
E74054014 / SUPPLEMENTAL
   
02/18/15 
HALF ST SE LLC / STEPHEN R. HOLMAN
P1503532 / SUPPLEMENTAL
50 M ST SE   
02/18/15 
ENGLEWOOD LLC / FVI2020
FD1500010 / CONSTRUCTION
FOUNDATION OF GRADE RELATED TO CONSTRUCTION OF A NEW HOTEL
55 M ST SE   
02/24/15 
HINES GLOBAL REIT 55 M STREET LLC / ANDREW P CARAYIANNIS
M1501184 / SUPPLEMENTAL
100 M ST SE   
02/11/15 
SQUARE 743 INC. / JOHN GIUSEPPE-RAMCO
TL1500062 / CONSTRUCTION
FIRST TIME TENANT TO BUILDOUT AND OCCUPY TENANT SPACE ON PART OF THE 7TH FLOOR THE TRUST FOR PUBLIC LAND AS SHOWN ON THE ATTACHED THIRD PARTY REVIEWED AND APPROVED MECH. .PLUMB. ELECT. FIRE PROTECTION AND ARCHITECTURAL PLANS BY KTA. INTERIOR WORK ONLY. NO CHANGE IN USE. NO STRUCTURAL WORK INVOLVED.
   
02/13/15 
SQUARE 743 INC / RONNIE E WRIGHT
E1503331 / SUPPLEMENTAL
   
02/13/15 
SQUARE 743 INC / DAVID FLEMING
P1503495 / SUPPLEMENTAL
   
02/19/15 
SQUARE 743 INC / DAVID FLEMING
P1503597 / SUPPLEMENTAL
   
02/20/15 
SQUARE 743 INC / GREGORY E LIGON
E1503498 / SUPPLEMENTAL
   
02/23/15 
SQUARE 743 INC / ANTHONY G SAMBURG
E1503518 / SUPPLEMENTAL
901 M ST SE   
02/19/15 
US GOVERNMENT NAVY PWC / SUMMIT CONSTRUCTION AND ES
B1504570 / CONSTRUCTION
REQUEST AND E&S PERMIT FOR WORK ON FEDERAL INSTALLATION. INSTALLING FOOTINGS AND SLAB WITH PORTCH SUPPORTS. MINOR GRADING AND SEEDING. BUILDING FOOTPRINT IS UNDER 700SF. LAND DISTURBANCE INCLUDING GRADING AND SEEDING IS UNDER 2 500SF.
100 M ST SE   
02/19/15 
SQUARE 743 INC / JOHN H THOMSON
E1503464 / SUPPLEMENTAL
   
02/20/15 
SQUARE 743 INC / DAVID RAINE; SQUARE 743 INC; DAVID RAINE
P38575591 / SUPPLEMENTAL
300 M ST SE   
02/11/15 
FEDERAL CENTER LP / SAM HOLLEN RAMCO OF DC INC.
B1504255 / CONSTRUCTION
INTERIOR RENOVATION TO 2ND FLOOR CONFERENCE ROOM. PARTITIONS FINISHES MECHANICAL ELECTRICAL AND LIFE SAFETY. ICI SERVICES
1201 M ST SE   
02/11/15 
CSC / DAMON ELLIS
B1503731 / CONSTRUCTION
SCOPE OF WORK AREA IS 800SQFT TO INCLUDE MECHANICAL PLUMBING ELECTRICAL AND FIRE. NO CHANGE OF USE OR STRUCTURAL WORK BEING DONE
800 NEW JERSEY AVE SE   
02/24/15 
NEW JERSEY AT H LLC / JOHN H THOMSON
E1503556 / SUPPLEMENTAL
   
02/13/15 
BAKER DC / CHRISTINE LONG
AH1500246 / CONSTRUCTION
AN AFTER HOURS PERMIT IS RESPECTFULLY REQUESTED FROM 7:00PM THRU 7:00AM
909 NEW JERSEY AVE SE   
02/26/15 
909 NEW JERSEY AVENUE ACQUISITION LLC / DAVID L. HAHN
P1503815 / SUPPLEMENTAL
1000 NEW JERSEY AVE SE   
02/23/15 
CAPITOL HILL TOWER HOUSING COOPERATIVE INCF / SHAWN ALEX HELLER
HO1500118 / HOME OCCUPATION
HOME OFFICE (LAW OFFICE).
300 TINGEY ST SE   
02/13/15 
RICHARD CERVERA / NATHANIEL GILL
B1504014 / CONSTRUCTION
NEW SUMMER GARDEN
AH = After Hours; B = Alteration & Repair; D = Demolition; E = Electrical; FB = Boiler; M = Mechanical; P = Plumbing and Gas; PC = Post Card; R = Raze; SG = Sign; TL = Tenant Layout; TN = Tent; RW = Retaining Wall;

Real Property Sales Archive  
No commercial transaction records added or modified in the past two weeks.


Project Directory




     © Copyright 2015 JD.