Since January, 2003
            
 (a random before-and-after moment)
May 4, 2003
May 19, 2019
1st at Potomac, Looking Southwest (see more)

If you're in the mood for a spit-take with your morning coffee, this link should do it. WalletPop.com has posted what it apparently thinks is a legitimate study of the "25 Most Dangerous Neighborhoods" in the country, and coming in at #9 is.... Near Southeast???? Near Southeast, which hasn't had a murder since 20052004, and has had a grand total of seven assaults with a deadly weapon this year? And yet somehow this "exclusive data developed by Dr. Andrew Schiller's team at NeighborhoodScout.com" is predicting that there will be 240 violent crimes in the neighborhood each year. As reader A put it when passing the link along, "I think I could name at least 9 neighborhoods in DC more dangerous."
Perhaps when pulling together this clearly rigorous study they wandered by my map of the murders in Near Southeast between 1987 and 2004 and forgot to read the dates on the data. More likely is a glitch with their algorithm comparing crime reports with the size of the population (which has been pretty small in Near Southeast over the past few years). Or a mixup with addresses. But otherwise, my goodness....!
UPDATE: Further ruminations on this travesty of a mockery of a sham of a mockery of a travesty of two mockeries of a sham [ahem] from DCist and NBC4. And DC Urban Turf finds that this list has gotten into trouble in the past.
UPDATE II: Here's ABC7's video report on the story, which includes an extremely rare on-camera appearance by yours truly. As should be clear by now, if there's anything that gets me riled up, it's factual inaccuracies.
UPDATE III: And NBC4's 11 pm report. If indeed the study included number of stolen cars to consider a neighborhood "dangerous," then yes, I can see how Near SE's numbers would skew high, especially if they used 2008 crime data. (A lot of cars got stolen during the 2006-2008 era, when construction workers came to the area to build the stadium and other buildings, and there were few people on the streets during the day to act as "eyes and ears.") But still, does that make a neighborhood *dangerous*? Yeesh.
Comments (19)
   
 
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JD but not that JD says: (10/4/10 11:46 AM)
Has to be based on old data or something. I used to live in Orlando, and that area around Paramore Ave is also an area under renewal...used to be bad...and it's no Bay Hill Country Club but I'm not sure that it is that dangerous anymore. Weird.


Rob says: (10/4/10 11:56 AM)
The methodologies used to calculate these lists are almost always flawed. But it doesn't really matter to the authors, because local media in all of these cities will report this "study" at face-value and draw undeserved attention to the website.


Mark says: (10/4/10 12:12 PM)
If you follow through the math on the page describing the crime in the neighborhood ( link they're using a neighborhood population of 2155. How many years ago was that true?


Mark says: (10/4/10 12:13 PM)
Sorry, here's the correct link:
link


JD says: (10/4/10 12:13 PM)
Not that long ago, probably early 2009. It's about 3,500 now.


Bruce says: (10/4/10 1:18 PM)
Sadly, ALL of the bad press, etc that is dome regarding Near Southeast (I now JD likes this) Capitol Riverfront is done by folks who have apparently NEVER stepped foot in the area.
Sad considering that this is now such a safe area. Its livable/walkable to quote Tommy Wells...

Bruce


John says: (10/4/10 1:37 PM)
They definetly took numbers from back in 2005 or probably even before when all the housing projects were still up. Look at the lifestyle sections says 97% of the neighborhood is black and only 8% are govt. employees. Have these ppl ever heard of Trinidad, Anacostia, Berry Farms, Langston terrace, SW Cappers, Mount pleasant, just to name a few hoods with prob. 75% more crime....really makes u wonder how they messed up this badly....


JD says: (10/4/10 1:41 PM)
I tried to get through to look at their methodology, but their site is down even more often than JDLand is. :-)


SW says: (10/4/10 1:54 PM)
That list is garbage. How the hell can Detroit not even have one single 'hood qualify for that list.


Mauricio says: (10/4/10 2:10 PM)
All you have to do is look at the comments section of that article to realize that most of the folks reading it are fairly insane and not anyone you'd want living in DC anyway.


Meredith says: (10/4/10 3:15 PM)
News 4 is apparently running a story on it tonight--they interviewed me outside of the EYA model homes this afternoon. Caught me off-guard but I am glad I was able to say that I don't believe police reports would support this crazy assertion about L St and the neighborhood. Gave jdland a mention too as a site we often check for neighborhood info--thanks JD for keeping us all informed!


MJM says: (10/4/10 3:52 PM)
Maybe that site/study could have used this study (linked below) that started to show the changes in 2007. But hey 'hood scout got props from Money Magazine and they are used by Harvard, UC-Berkeley, U Penn, MIT and others researching real estate so it must be true. good grief.....

link

Near -Southeast is Cluster 27


MJM says: (10/4/10 4:07 PM)
Hood Scout Report Info
link


pkp says: (10/4/10 5:18 PM)
The opening sentence of a site disclaimer at the bottom of the crime tab:

"Although we work hard to provide premium quality information, the content contained in any NeighborhoodScout Report is a work of art."


JD says: (10/4/10 5:28 PM)
Thanks for the plug, Meredith!


BW says: (10/4/10 10:30 PM)
If recent trends continue, Near Southeast's population will top Detroit's in ...


CB says: (10/4/10 10:36 PM)
News crew at corner of 4th & L. No markings on side of truck, but suppose we are going to be on the news again this evening.


Will says: (10/5/10 1:00 PM)
On balance, I think this could be a positive thing for the hood. It's usually just folks who live in the area defending it, now we have local news and blogs speaking up. Many thanks to JDLand for correcting the record.


Meredith says: (10/5/10 10:19 PM)
To compare crime just on the Hill, take PSA 105 (Navy Yard S of 395, E of S. Cap) and PSA 102 (2nd-13th NE and D St to FL Ave NE). Per crimemap.dc.gov, reports for the last year (Oct 09-Oct 10) are as follows:
Violent Crime Incidents: PSA105 = 31 PSA102 = 170 Property Crime Incidents: PSA105 = 196 PSA102 = 752.
Even adjusting for number of residents, PSA105 comes out looking better/comparable to other parts of the Hill, certainly not astronomically more dangerous. And 31 violent crimes per 3000+ residents (not including the tens of thousands we absorb every workday and game day) means a person in PSA 105 has a 1 in 100 chance of being a victim, which is a far cry from the 1 in 9 claimed.

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City Government Data for Near Southeast Records added or updated recently displayed here; click the "archive" links to see additional detail and older records. All data from DC Government databases and RSS feeds. JDLand takes no responsibility for errors, omissions, etc. (read CapStat disclaimer). Data is retrieved daily.

Recent Crime Incidents Archive  
150 B/O L ST SE   MOTOR VEHICLE THEFT
Theft First Degree (Stolen Auto)
 08/18/19
400 B/O M ST SE   THEFT
Theft 2nd Degree (all Other Larceny)
 08/15/19
700 B/O L ST SE   THEFT
Theft 2nd Degree (all Other Larceny)
 08/15/19
400 B/O M ST SE   THEFT
Theft 2nd Degree (theft From Building)
 08/15/19
100 B/O M ST SE   THEFT
Theft First Degree (purse-snatching)
 08/14/19
400 B/O M ST SE   THEFT
Theft 2nd Degree (theft From Building)
 08/14/19
500 B/O L ST SE   THEFT FROM AUTO
Theft (theft From Motor Vehicle)
 08/14/19
400 B/O M ST SE   THEFT
Theft 2nd Degree (theft From Building)
 08/12/19
400 B/O M ST SE   THEFT
Theft 2nd Degree (all Other Larceny)
 08/07/19
400 B/O M ST SE   THEFT
Theft 2nd Degree (theft From Building)
 08/06/19
400 B/O M ST SE   THEFT
Theft 2nd Degree (all Other Larceny)
 08/06/19
800 B/O VIRGINIA AVE SE   THEFT FROM AUTO
Theft First Degree (theft From Motor Vehicle)
 08/05/19
UNIT B/O N ST SE   THEFT
Theft 2nd Degree (all Other Larceny)
 08/04/19
400 B/O M ST SE   THEFT
Shoplifting
 08/01/19
900 B/O 3RD ST SE   THEFT
Theft 2nd Degree (all Other Larceny)
 07/26/19
600 B/O M ST SE   MOTOR VEHICLE THEFT
Theft First Degree (Stolen Auto)
 07/25/19
400 B/O M ST SE   THEFT
Theft 2nd Degree (all Other Larceny)
 07/25/19

Recent Issued Building Permits Archive  
1100 2ND PL SE   
08/06/19 
DC WATER / JEFF NOLD
AH1901095 / CONSTRUCTION
CCTV inspection of Sanitary Sewer sytem at the corner of 2nd Place and L Street SE.
808 3RD ST SE   
07/29/19 
LAURA R JENKINS / BRANDON K. VIERNES; BRANDON K. VIERNES
M1903669 / SUPPLEMENTAL
913 4TH ST SE   
08/07/19 
JANE SESSA / KYLE YOST; KYLE YOST
SOL1901388 / CONSTRUCTION
rooftop solar pv system, less than 4' above roof.
   
08/14/19 
JANE T SESSA / null
E1910482 / SUPPLEMENTAL
1331 4TH ST SE 719   
08/07/19 
null / NA NA NA
EHOP19936898 / HOME OCCUPATION
1346 4TH ST SE 20011   
08/16/19 
FC 1346 HOLDCO 1 LLC / null
E1910605 / SUPPLEMENTAL
312 K ST SE   
08/05/19 
HENRY LOWNDES MAURY TRUSTEES / null
E1910076 / SUPPLEMENTAL
   
08/07/19 
HENRY L MAURY / BJORN FALK; ANTHONY COLELLA
SOL1901686 / CONSTRUCTION
Install 6.54 solar PV system using 20 327-watt solar panels, roof mounted, with micro-inverters.
100 M ST SE   
07/29/19 
SQUARE 743 INC / KIM MITCHELL; MONUMENT REALITY
B1909745 / CONSTRUCTION
CONSTRUCTION OF OFFICE SPACE ON THE 7TH FLOOR - MULTI TENANT FLOOR IN AN EXISTING OFFICE BUILDING. THE SPACE IS IN SHELL CONDITION, NOT PREVIOUSLY OCCUPIED. THIS IS AN EXPANSION OF AN EXISTING TENANT ON THE 7TH FLOOR
   
08/06/19 
SQUARE 743 INC / PAUL THIEBERGER; PAUL THIEBERGER
P1908468 / SUPPLEMENTAL
   
08/16/19 
SQUARE 743 INC / BRIAN QUINN; NA
B1911537 / CONSTRUCTION
Interior renovation for new tenant in existing office space on partial area of the 9th floor.
300 M ST SE   
08/08/19 
FEDERAL CENTER LP / MIKE BOONE
AH1901148 / CONSTRUCTION
PEPCO-WO#15676746 / 02-ALLEN / CHESTER-CREWS WILL BE INSTALLING CABLE. 300 BLK M ST SE 400 BLK M ST SE 400 BLK TINGEY ST SE 1200 BLK 4TH ST SE THEY WILL BE TAKING PARKING LANE AND MIDDLE LANE M-F 11PM-7AM
800 NEW JERSEY AVE SE   
08/14/19 
NEW JERSEY AT H LLC / null
E1910458 / SUPPLEMENTAL
861 NEW JERSEY AVE SE   
08/07/19 
809-853 NEW JERSEY AVE ACQUISITION LLC / JOSEPH M MAGNOLIA; JOSEPH M MAGNOLIA
P1908508 / SUPPLEMENTAL
   
08/08/19 
GRAYSTAR GP 11,LLC / KIM MITCHELL
SH1900015 / CONSTRUCTION
Support of excavation for entire site for two below grade parking levels
   
08/14/19 
GRAYSTAR GP 11 LLC / MITCH A. PERMUY; MITCH A. PERMUY
E1910454 / SUPPLEMENTAL
   
08/14/19 
GRAYSTAR GP 11 LLC / MITCH A. PERMUY; MITCH A. PERMUY
E1910455 / SUPPLEMENTAL
1100 NEW JERSEY AVE SE   
07/26/19 
SQUARE 742 LLC / WILLIAM SNODDY; TBD
B1911194 / CONSTRUCTION
Tenant Finish Out. Existing Condition to be demolished and new office space built to tenant's standards. Office consists of open office and private offices.
   
07/30/19 
SQUARE 742 LLC / null
P1908231 / SUPPLEMENTAL
   
08/06/19 
SQUARE 742 LLC / ;
P1908470 / SUPPLEMENTAL
   
08/06/19 
SQUARE 742 LLC / null
M1903804 / SUPPLEMENTAL
520 TINGEY ST SE   
08/12/19 
US GENERAL SERVICES ADMINISTRATION / JOHN WICKLIFFE; NA
TN1900153 / CONSTRUCTION
Install 100ft x 90ft Tent No Cooking, No Propane, No Stages, No Smoking Installed Aug 16, 2019 - Feb 9, 2020 Events Daily 8:00 am - 10:00 pm
227 TINGEY ST SE   
07/31/19 
UNITED STATES OF AMERICA / BILL SAUNDERS; BILL SAUNDERS
P1908289 / SUPPLEMENTAL
AH = After Hours; B = Alteration & Repair; D = Demolition; E = Electrical; FB = Boiler; M = Mechanical; P = Plumbing and Gas; PC = Post Card; R = Raze; SG = Sign; TL = Tenant Layout; TN = Tent; RW = Retaining Wall;

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