Since January, 2003
            
 (a random before-and-after moment)
September 19, 2004
May 29, 2016
2nd (East) at L, Looking North (see more)

If you're in the mood for a spit-take with your morning coffee, this link should do it. WalletPop.com has posted what it apparently thinks is a legitimate study of the "25 Most Dangerous Neighborhoods" in the country, and coming in at #9 is.... Near Southeast???? Near Southeast, which hasn't had a murder since 20052004, and has had a grand total of seven assaults with a deadly weapon this year? And yet somehow this "exclusive data developed by Dr. Andrew Schiller's team at NeighborhoodScout.com" is predicting that there will be 240 violent crimes in the neighborhood each year. As reader A put it when passing the link along, "I think I could name at least 9 neighborhoods in DC more dangerous."
Perhaps when pulling together this clearly rigorous study they wandered by my map of the murders in Near Southeast between 1987 and 2004 and forgot to read the dates on the data. More likely is a glitch with their algorithm comparing crime reports with the size of the population (which has been pretty small in Near Southeast over the past few years). Or a mixup with addresses. But otherwise, my goodness....!
UPDATE: Further ruminations on this travesty of a mockery of a sham of a mockery of a travesty of two mockeries of a sham [ahem] from DCist and NBC4. And DC Urban Turf finds that this list has gotten into trouble in the past.
UPDATE II: Here's ABC7's video report on the story, which includes an extremely rare on-camera appearance by yours truly. As should be clear by now, if there's anything that gets me riled up, it's factual inaccuracies.
UPDATE III: And NBC4's 11 pm report. If indeed the study included number of stolen cars to consider a neighborhood "dangerous," then yes, I can see how Near SE's numbers would skew high, especially if they used 2008 crime data. (A lot of cars got stolen during the 2006-2008 era, when construction workers came to the area to build the stadium and other buildings, and there were few people on the streets during the day to act as "eyes and ears.") But still, does that make a neighborhood *dangerous*? Yeesh.
Comments (19)
   
 
 More About crime
 All posts: crime

JDLand.com Home

Comments

JD but not that JD says: (10/4/10 11:46 AM)
Has to be based on old data or something. I used to live in Orlando, and that area around Paramore Ave is also an area under renewal...used to be bad...and it's no Bay Hill Country Club but I'm not sure that it is that dangerous anymore. Weird.


Rob says: (10/4/10 11:56 AM)
The methodologies used to calculate these lists are almost always flawed. But it doesn't really matter to the authors, because local media in all of these cities will report this "study" at face-value and draw undeserved attention to the website.


Mark says: (10/4/10 12:12 PM)
If you follow through the math on the page describing the crime in the neighborhood ( link they're using a neighborhood population of 2155. How many years ago was that true?


Mark says: (10/4/10 12:13 PM)
Sorry, here's the correct link:
link


JD says: (10/4/10 12:13 PM)
Not that long ago, probably early 2009. It's about 3,500 now.


Bruce says: (10/4/10 1:18 PM)
Sadly, ALL of the bad press, etc that is dome regarding Near Southeast (I now JD likes this) Capitol Riverfront is done by folks who have apparently NEVER stepped foot in the area.
Sad considering that this is now such a safe area. Its livable/walkable to quote Tommy Wells...

Bruce


John says: (10/4/10 1:37 PM)
They definetly took numbers from back in 2005 or probably even before when all the housing projects were still up. Look at the lifestyle sections says 97% of the neighborhood is black and only 8% are govt. employees. Have these ppl ever heard of Trinidad, Anacostia, Berry Farms, Langston terrace, SW Cappers, Mount pleasant, just to name a few hoods with prob. 75% more crime....really makes u wonder how they messed up this badly....


JD says: (10/4/10 1:41 PM)
I tried to get through to look at their methodology, but their site is down even more often than JDLand is. :-)


SW says: (10/4/10 1:54 PM)
That list is garbage. How the hell can Detroit not even have one single 'hood qualify for that list.


Mauricio says: (10/4/10 2:10 PM)
All you have to do is look at the comments section of that article to realize that most of the folks reading it are fairly insane and not anyone you'd want living in DC anyway.


Meredith says: (10/4/10 3:15 PM)
News 4 is apparently running a story on it tonight--they interviewed me outside of the EYA model homes this afternoon. Caught me off-guard but I am glad I was able to say that I don't believe police reports would support this crazy assertion about L St and the neighborhood. Gave jdland a mention too as a site we often check for neighborhood info--thanks JD for keeping us all informed!


MJM says: (10/4/10 3:52 PM)
Maybe that site/study could have used this study (linked below) that started to show the changes in 2007. But hey 'hood scout got props from Money Magazine and they are used by Harvard, UC-Berkeley, U Penn, MIT and others researching real estate so it must be true. good grief.....

link

Near -Southeast is Cluster 27


MJM says: (10/4/10 4:07 PM)
Hood Scout Report Info
link


pkp says: (10/4/10 5:18 PM)
The opening sentence of a site disclaimer at the bottom of the crime tab:

"Although we work hard to provide premium quality information, the content contained in any NeighborhoodScout Report is a work of art."


JD says: (10/4/10 5:28 PM)
Thanks for the plug, Meredith!


BW says: (10/4/10 10:30 PM)
If recent trends continue, Near Southeast's population will top Detroit's in ...


CB says: (10/4/10 10:36 PM)
News crew at corner of 4th & L. No markings on side of truck, but suppose we are going to be on the news again this evening.


Will says: (10/5/10 1:00 PM)
On balance, I think this could be a positive thing for the hood. It's usually just folks who live in the area defending it, now we have local news and blogs speaking up. Many thanks to JDLand for correcting the record.


Meredith says: (10/5/10 10:19 PM)
To compare crime just on the Hill, take PSA 105 (Navy Yard S of 395, E of S. Cap) and PSA 102 (2nd-13th NE and D St to FL Ave NE). Per crimemap.dc.gov, reports for the last year (Oct 09-Oct 10) are as follows:
Violent Crime Incidents: PSA105 = 31 PSA102 = 170 Property Crime Incidents: PSA105 = 196 PSA102 = 752.
Even adjusting for number of residents, PSA105 comes out looking better/comparable to other parts of the Hill, certainly not astronomically more dangerous. And 31 violent crimes per 3000+ residents (not including the tens of thousands we absorb every workday and game day) means a person in PSA 105 has a 1 in 100 chance of being a victim, which is a far cry from the 1 in 9 claimed.

Add a Comment:

Comments are closed for this post.

JDLand Comments RSS Feed


 More News


See All Current News Items | Full Blog Archive

 

JDLand.com's Official Unofficial Guide, Updated for 2016!
 Top News
  
Get JDLand Updates In Your Inbox!

willinrm on Yards Marina Grand: I got your back, " winery target begin date for construction June 1st.
JD on Yards Marina Grand: It's the prep for construction of the District Winery bldg. Maybe someone can po...
lauren_k4 on Yards Marina Grand: Does anyone know what's going on with the grassy areas by the marina? They put f...
willinrm on Yards Marina Grand: FYI for anyone curious about the "water taxi" portion of the marina; I...



City Government Data for Near Southeast Records added or updated recently displayed here; click the "archive" links to see additional detail and older records. All data from DC Government databases and RSS feeds. JDLand takes no responsibility for errors, omissions, etc. (read CapStat disclaimer). Data is retrieved daily.

Recent Crime Incidents Archive  
1100 B/O NEW JERSEY AVE SE   THEFT
Theft 2nd Degree (theft From Building)
 06/24/16
400 B/O M ST SE   THEFT
Theft 2nd Degree (theft From Building)
 06/23/16
250 B/O L ST SE   MOTOR VEHICLE THEFT
Theft First Degree (Stolen Auto)
 06/23/16
UNIT B/O L ST SE   MOTOR VEHICLE THEFT
Theft First Degree (Stolen Auto)
 06/23/16
1200 B/O 1ST ST SE   THEFT
Theft First Degree (theft From Building)
 06/23/16
800 B/O 3RD ST SE   THEFT FROM AUTO
Theft 2nd Degree (theft From Motor Vehicle)
 06/22/16
900 B/O 5TH ST SE   ASSAULT WITH A DANGEROUS WEAPON  06/21/16
1000 B/O NEW JERSEY AVE SE   THEFT FROM AUTO
Theft First Degree (theft From Motor Vehicle)
 06/21/16
400 B/O M ST SE   ASSAULT WITH A DANGEROUS WEAPON  06/19/16
1100 B/O NEW JERSEY AVE SE   THEFT
Theft 2nd Degree (all Other Larceny)
 06/19/16
1000 B/O 1ST ST SE   THEFT FROM AUTO
Theft 2nd Degree (theft From Motor Vehicle)
 06/17/16
1100 B/O NEW JERSEY AVE SE   THEFT
Theft 2nd Degree (all Other Larceny)
 06/17/16
700 B/O L ST SE   ROBBERY  06/17/16
1100 B/O 8TH ST SE   THEFT
Theft 2nd Degree (all Other Larceny)
 06/14/16
UNIT B/O I ST SE   ROBBERY  06/13/16
250 B/O K ST SE   THEFT FROM AUTO
Theft (theft From Motor Vehicle)
 06/10/16
100 B/O K ST SE   THEFT FROM AUTO
Theft (theft From Motor Vehicle)
 06/09/16
1200 B/O HALF ST SE   THEFT FROM AUTO
Theft 2nd Degree (theft From Motor Vehicle)
 06/09/16
1000 B/O 4TH ST SE   THEFT
Theft 2nd Degree (all Other Larceny)
 06/06/16
1100 B/O NEW JERSEY AVE SE   THEFT
Theft 2nd Degree (all Other Larceny)
 06/05/16
100 B/O K ST SE   THEFT FROM AUTO
Theft (theft From Motor Vehicle)
 06/04/16
1100 B/O NEW JERSEY AVE SE   THEFT
Theft 2nd Degree (theft From Building)
 06/04/16
150 B/O L ST SE   THEFT
Theft 2nd Degree (all Other Larceny)
 06/04/16
300 I ST SE   THEFT
Theft 2nd Degree (all Other Larceny)
 06/02/16
1000 B/O 1ST ST SE   THEFT
Theft 2nd Degree (all Other Larceny)
 05/31/16
1200 B/O 1ST ST SE   THEFT
Theft 2nd Degree (all Other Larceny)
 05/30/16
300 B/O TINGEY ST SE   THEFT
Theft 2nd Degree (all Other Larceny)
 05/29/16
1000 B/O 2ND PLACE SE   THEFT FROM AUTO
Theft (theft From Motor Vehicle)
 05/29/16

Recent Issued Building Permits Archive  
1200 1ST ST SE 20303   
06/24/16 
UNITED STATES OF AMERICA / CRANE SERVICE CO; CHRISTINE LONG
AH1600817 / CONSTRUCTION
An after hours permit is respectfully requested from 4AM Saturday thru 9PM Sunday
1277 1ST ST SE   
06/15/16 
MILLER&LONG MILLER&LONG
AH1600794 / CONSTRUCTION
afterhours to take down tower crane with 200 ton mobile crane saturday 6 / 18 / 2016 5am to 9pm 6 / 19 / 2016
1331 2ND ST SE   
06/23/16 
DC WATER
AH1600806 / CONSTRUCTION
After Hours work for structure excavation and support for B1605659 DC Water, Corman Construction 202-863-0052.
1005 3RD PL SE FLOOR 2   
06/09/16 
PETER D TRIFU / JERONE SCOTT
P1606869 / SUPPLEMENTAL
1017 3RD PL SE   
06/09/16 
null / NA NA NA
EHOP1690733 / HOME OCCUPATION
1212 4TH ST SE   
06/20/16 
FC 1212 LLC / null
P1607144 / SUPPLEMENTAL
1000 5TH ST SE   
06/22/16 
UNITED STATES OF AMERICA / null
P1607205 / SUPPLEMENTAL
1240 12TH ST SE   
06/13/16 
AECOM TECHNICAL SERVICE / AECOM TECHNICAL SERVICE; KTT PERMIT EXPEDITER, LLC
B1609254 / CONSTRUCTION
2nd extension of existing permit B1503361 to expire 01 / 14 / 2017
1000 HALF ST SE   
06/14/16 
TOLL BROTHERS CITY LIVING TOLL DC PHASE III / TOLL BROTHERS CITY LIVING TOLL DC PHASE III; STEVE ADAMCHAK ECS MID-ATLANTIC, LLC
SB1600266 / CONSTRUCTION
We will perform a total of 1 soil boring on the proposed site to a depth of 75 feet below existing grades. The boring will be located within the bounds of the private property. The boring will be drilled utilizing 4.25 hollow stem, continuous flight augers and / or mud rotary drilling. The boring will be performed utilizing a truck-mounted drill rig and will generate an approximate 6 inch annul...
1210 HALF ST SE   
06/14/16 
HINES GLOBAL / ALAN CARTER; HINES GLOBAL; ALAN CARTER
E82561999 / SUPPLEMENTAL
   
06/21/16 
HINES GLOBAL REIT 55 M STREET LLC / MATT LOSIGNOR
P1607182 / SUPPLEMENTAL
70 I ST SE APT 413   
06/17/16 
null / NA NA NA
EHOP1690749 / HOME OCCUPATION
70 I ST SE   
06/21/16 
70 EYE STREET ACQUISITION LLC / FUJITEC AMERICA
ER1602585 / SHOP DRAWING
Replace MRL hoist machine on elevator #2 Condition : Submit License Application EIN 22-2190685 Estimated Cost $15,000
601 L ST SE   
06/15/16 
RICHARD V CAREY
P1607063 / SUPPLEMENTAL
   
06/15/16 
TIMOTHY S CLEMONS
M1602419 / SUPPLEMENTAL
99 M ST SE   
06/07/16 
BALLPARK SQUARE 701 LLC / NA BALLPARK SQUARE 701 LLC; LP CONSULTING SERVICES
AH1600767 / CONSTRUCTION
Work after hours from 7pm-7am Monday-Friday in conjunction with building permit B1503519 & DDOT PA97876
100 M ST SE   
06/11/16 
SQUARE 743 INC AND 100 M ST SE LLC / CHRIS HEARD; SQUARE 743 INC AND 100 M ST SE LLC; ASCHALEW ASAMINEW
E56805736 / SUPPLEMENTAL
   
06/20/16 
SQUARE 743 INC / GREGORY E LIGON
E1607378 / SUPPLEMENTAL
0 N ST SE   
06/24/16 
null / ROBERT S. WATTS
E1607561 / SUPPLEMENTAL
1200 NEW JERSEY AVE SE 3 20024   
06/15/16 
JBG/FEDERAL CENTER LLC / MARK A. PELUSO
E1607254 / SUPPLEMENTAL
1200 NEW JERSEY AVE SE 3RD 20024   
06/13/16 
JBG/FEDERAL CENTER LLC / null
P1606958 / SUPPLEMENTAL
1000 NEW JERSEY AVE SE   
06/08/16 
CHARLES J MURPHY / FREDERICK SAVAGE; CHARLES J MURPHY; FREDERICK SAVAGE
E11170434 / SUPPLEMENTAL
   
06/10/16 
CAPITOL HILL TOWER HOUSING COOPERATIVE INCF / RANDALL W GREER
P1606933 / SUPPLEMENTAL
   
06/15/16 
null / JEAN FRANCOIS MEFORT
PC56593839 / POST CARD
Installation of not more than 1 new air conditioning unit, up to a maximum of 10-tons of equivalent refrigerating effect.
1100 NEW JERSEY AVE SE   
06/22/16 
SQUARE 742 LLC / SQUARE 742, LLC SPAULDING AND SLYE, STE 100; TEMPEST, LLC
B1609629 / CONSTRUCTION
Interior cosmetic remodel to include ADA upgrade modifications, minor electrical work per installations and relocations.
1111 NEW JERSEY AVE SE   
06/07/16 
NJA ASSOCIATES LLC / STEVE ADAMS; NJA ASSOCIATES LLC; STEPHEN ADAMS
E73763756 / SUPPLEMENTAL
   
06/20/16 
NJA ASSOCIATES LLC / NJA ASSOCIATES LLC; N/A
SG1600285 / CONSTRUCTION
Install 2 signs on building LED----- 1. address 1111 on building entrance canopy 2. Letters IOM on New Jersey Ave building face side between 9th and 12th floors.
25 POTOMAC AVE SE   
06/20/16 
RIVERFRONT HOLDINGS I LLC / ; NONE
SG1600336 / CONSTRUCTION
INSTALL 6 SIGNS AS PER PRINT
1244 SOUTH CAPITOL ST SE   
06/09/16 
1244 SOUTH CAPITOL RESIDENTIAL, L.L.C. / DONALD V. ELLENBERGER
M1602333 / SUPPLEMENTAL
AH = After Hours; B = Alteration & Repair; D = Demolition; E = Electrical; FB = Boiler; M = Mechanical; P = Plumbing and Gas; PC = Post Card; R = Raze; SG = Sign; TL = Tenant Layout; TN = Tent; RW = Retaining Wall;

Real Property Sales Archive  
No commercial transaction records added or modified in the past two weeks.


Project Directory
Completed
Park Chelsea ('16)
Yards/Arris ('16)
Hampton Inn ('15)
Southeast Blvd. ('15)
11th St. Bridges ('15)
Parc Riverside ('14)
Twelve12/Yards ('14)
Lumber Shed ('13)
Boilermaker Shops ('13)
Camden South Capitol ('13)
Canal Park ('12)
Capitol Quarter ('12)
225 Virginia/200 I ('12)
Foundry Lofts ('12)
1015 Half Street ('10)
Yards Park ('10)
Velocity Condos ('09)
Teague Park ('09)
909 New Jersey Ave. ('09)
55 M ('09)
100 M ('08)
Onyx ('08)
70/100 I ('08)
Nationals Park ('08)
Seniors Bldg Demo ('07)
400 M ('07)
Douglass Bridge Fix ('07)
US DOT HQ ('07)
20 M ('07)
Capper Seniors 1 ('06)
Capitol Hill Tower ('06)
Courtyard/Marriott ('06)
Marine Barracks ('04)


Overviews
Capper/Carrollsburg
Anacostia Riverwalk
New Jersey Avenue
M Street
South Capitol Street
The Yards
Lower 8th Street
East M Street
Boathouse Row





                  © Copyright 2016 JD.