Since January, 2003
            
 (a random before-and-after moment)
January 15, 2005
June 20, 2016
New Jersey at I, Looking South-Southeast (see more)

If you're in the mood for a spit-take with your morning coffee, this link should do it. WalletPop.com has posted what it apparently thinks is a legitimate study of the "25 Most Dangerous Neighborhoods" in the country, and coming in at #9 is.... Near Southeast???? Near Southeast, which hasn't had a murder since 20052004, and has had a grand total of seven assaults with a deadly weapon this year? And yet somehow this "exclusive data developed by Dr. Andrew Schiller's team at NeighborhoodScout.com" is predicting that there will be 240 violent crimes in the neighborhood each year. As reader A put it when passing the link along, "I think I could name at least 9 neighborhoods in DC more dangerous."
Perhaps when pulling together this clearly rigorous study they wandered by my map of the murders in Near Southeast between 1987 and 2004 and forgot to read the dates on the data. More likely is a glitch with their algorithm comparing crime reports with the size of the population (which has been pretty small in Near Southeast over the past few years). Or a mixup with addresses. But otherwise, my goodness....!
UPDATE: Further ruminations on this travesty of a mockery of a sham of a mockery of a travesty of two mockeries of a sham [ahem] from DCist and NBC4. And DC Urban Turf finds that this list has gotten into trouble in the past.
UPDATE II: Here's ABC7's video report on the story, which includes an extremely rare on-camera appearance by yours truly. As should be clear by now, if there's anything that gets me riled up, it's factual inaccuracies.
UPDATE III: And NBC4's 11 pm report. If indeed the study included number of stolen cars to consider a neighborhood "dangerous," then yes, I can see how Near SE's numbers would skew high, especially if they used 2008 crime data. (A lot of cars got stolen during the 2006-2008 era, when construction workers came to the area to build the stadium and other buildings, and there were few people on the streets during the day to act as "eyes and ears.") But still, does that make a neighborhood *dangerous*? Yeesh.
Comments (19)
   
 
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JD but not that JD says: (10/4/10 11:46 AM)
Has to be based on old data or something. I used to live in Orlando, and that area around Paramore Ave is also an area under renewal...used to be bad...and it's no Bay Hill Country Club but I'm not sure that it is that dangerous anymore. Weird.


Rob says: (10/4/10 11:56 AM)
The methodologies used to calculate these lists are almost always flawed. But it doesn't really matter to the authors, because local media in all of these cities will report this "study" at face-value and draw undeserved attention to the website.


Mark says: (10/4/10 12:12 PM)
If you follow through the math on the page describing the crime in the neighborhood ( link they're using a neighborhood population of 2155. How many years ago was that true?


Mark says: (10/4/10 12:13 PM)
Sorry, here's the correct link:
link


JD says: (10/4/10 12:13 PM)
Not that long ago, probably early 2009. It's about 3,500 now.


Bruce says: (10/4/10 1:18 PM)
Sadly, ALL of the bad press, etc that is dome regarding Near Southeast (I now JD likes this) Capitol Riverfront is done by folks who have apparently NEVER stepped foot in the area.
Sad considering that this is now such a safe area. Its livable/walkable to quote Tommy Wells...

Bruce


John says: (10/4/10 1:37 PM)
They definetly took numbers from back in 2005 or probably even before when all the housing projects were still up. Look at the lifestyle sections says 97% of the neighborhood is black and only 8% are govt. employees. Have these ppl ever heard of Trinidad, Anacostia, Berry Farms, Langston terrace, SW Cappers, Mount pleasant, just to name a few hoods with prob. 75% more crime....really makes u wonder how they messed up this badly....


JD says: (10/4/10 1:41 PM)
I tried to get through to look at their methodology, but their site is down even more often than JDLand is. :-)


SW says: (10/4/10 1:54 PM)
That list is garbage. How the hell can Detroit not even have one single 'hood qualify for that list.


Mauricio says: (10/4/10 2:10 PM)
All you have to do is look at the comments section of that article to realize that most of the folks reading it are fairly insane and not anyone you'd want living in DC anyway.


Meredith says: (10/4/10 3:15 PM)
News 4 is apparently running a story on it tonight--they interviewed me outside of the EYA model homes this afternoon. Caught me off-guard but I am glad I was able to say that I don't believe police reports would support this crazy assertion about L St and the neighborhood. Gave jdland a mention too as a site we often check for neighborhood info--thanks JD for keeping us all informed!


MJM says: (10/4/10 3:52 PM)
Maybe that site/study could have used this study (linked below) that started to show the changes in 2007. But hey 'hood scout got props from Money Magazine and they are used by Harvard, UC-Berkeley, U Penn, MIT and others researching real estate so it must be true. good grief.....

link

Near -Southeast is Cluster 27


MJM says: (10/4/10 4:07 PM)
Hood Scout Report Info
link


pkp says: (10/4/10 5:18 PM)
The opening sentence of a site disclaimer at the bottom of the crime tab:

"Although we work hard to provide premium quality information, the content contained in any NeighborhoodScout Report is a work of art."


JD says: (10/4/10 5:28 PM)
Thanks for the plug, Meredith!


BW says: (10/4/10 10:30 PM)
If recent trends continue, Near Southeast's population will top Detroit's in ...


CB says: (10/4/10 10:36 PM)
News crew at corner of 4th & L. No markings on side of truck, but suppose we are going to be on the news again this evening.


Will says: (10/5/10 1:00 PM)
On balance, I think this could be a positive thing for the hood. It's usually just folks who live in the area defending it, now we have local news and blogs speaking up. Many thanks to JDLand for correcting the record.


Meredith says: (10/5/10 10:19 PM)
To compare crime just on the Hill, take PSA 105 (Navy Yard S of 395, E of S. Cap) and PSA 102 (2nd-13th NE and D St to FL Ave NE). Per crimemap.dc.gov, reports for the last year (Oct 09-Oct 10) are as follows:
Violent Crime Incidents: PSA105 = 31 PSA102 = 170 Property Crime Incidents: PSA105 = 196 PSA102 = 752.
Even adjusting for number of residents, PSA105 comes out looking better/comparable to other parts of the Hill, certainly not astronomically more dangerous. And 31 violent crimes per 3000+ residents (not including the tens of thousands we absorb every workday and game day) means a person in PSA 105 has a 1 in 100 chance of being a victim, which is a far cry from the 1 in 9 claimed.

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City Government Data for Near Southeast Records added or updated recently displayed here; click the "archive" links to see additional detail and older records. All data from DC Government databases and RSS feeds. JDLand takes no responsibility for errors, omissions, etc. (read CapStat disclaimer). Data is retrieved daily.

Recent Crime Incidents Archive  
400 B/O M ST SE   THEFT
Theft 2nd Degree (all Other Larceny)
 02/15/18
1000 B/O 3RD ST SE   THEFT
Theft 2nd Degree (all Other Larceny)
 02/07/18
1300 B/O 4TH ST SE   THEFT
Theft 2nd Degree (all Other Larceny)
 01/21/18

Recent Issued Building Permits Archive  
1331 2ND ST SE 20003   
01/29/18 
DC WATER / DAVE LEVINE
AH1800505 / CONSTRUCTION
After hours work for structure exaction and support for B1311474 DC Water. Corman Construction 202-863-0052.
1016 3RD ST SE   
02/01/18 
ANAMARIA R MOTTOLA / DAVID L. HAHN
P1803348 / SUPPLEMENTAL
1346 4TH ST SE   
02/06/18 
ALAN OWINGS / ROBERT SEV HENRY
AH1800541 / CONSTRUCTION
After Hours Permit for 2 / 19 / 18 from 7AM to 7PM to perform concrete, framing, and utility operations.
   
02/06/18 
FC 1346 LLC / RICHARD V CAREY
P1803428 / SUPPLEMENTAL
150 I ST SE   
02/05/18 
WC SMITH / null
P1803402 / SUPPLEMENTAL
140 M ST SE   
02/07/18 
SPAULDING & SLYE/STE100 / null
E1803798 / SUPPLEMENTAL
110 M ST SE   
01/29/18 
GALLERY CAPITOL RIVERFRONT PROPERTY LLC / JAMES WEAVER
E1803534 / SUPPLEMENTAL
   
02/02/18 
GALLERY CAPITOL RIVERFRONT PROPERTY LLC / null
P1803361 / SUPPLEMENTAL
140 M ST SE 20032   
02/14/18 
SYLVIA LINDSEY / null
P1803641 / SUPPLEMENTAL
202 M ST SE   
01/29/18 
UNITED STATES OF AMERICA / NURI EROL
D1800281 / CONSTRUCTION
Remove Existing flooring. Remove some of the furnitures, equipment.
300 M ST SE 53533   
02/08/18 
FEDERAL CENTER LP / SPENCER TEEL
BP1801893 / POST CARD
401 M ST SE   
01/30/18 
DOEE C/O DEV MURALI / JESSICA REICHARD
AH1800507 / CONSTRUCTION
After hours permit to preform manhole inspections during off peak hours 7pm - 7am for all Manhole Locations covered under permit # PA10374319-R1 for DOEE Anacostia river sediment project.
861 NEW JERSEY AVE SE   
01/21/18 
CONSOLIDATED RAIL CORPORATION / null
P1802976 / SUPPLEMENTAL
   
01/31/18 
CONSOLIDATED RAIL CORPORATION / NA CSX TRANSPORTATION, INC.
AH1800467 / CONSTRUCTION
Work in public ROW within the Virginia Avenue Tunnel Reconstruction Project LOD for utility, demolition, and concrete structure construction activities.***TO EXCLUDE LEGAL HOLIDAYS**
1100 NEW JERSEY AVE SE 2ND FL   
02/09/18 
SQUARE 742 LLC / null
P1803534 / SUPPLEMENTAL
   
02/14/18 
SQUARE 742 LLC / null
P1803681 / SUPPLEMENTAL
79 POTOMAC AVE SE   
01/22/18 
RIVERFRONT HOLDINGS I LLC / JUSTIN BELLOW
TL1800010 / CONSTRUCTION
1st time tenant layout for restaurant with 212 indoor seats and 350- indoors occupant load. 338 outdoor seats 550 outdoors occupant load.
640 SOUTH CAPITOL ST SE   
02/05/18 
JIM LATISIS ZAYO GROUP
B1707197 / CONSTRUCTION
Addition to existing concrete telecom building.
401 TINGEY ST SE   
01/30/18 
PEPCO / BARBARA ANN STEDMAN
AH1800520 / CONSTRUCTION
UG TRANSFORMER WORK TO BE PERFORMED ON THE 400 BLK OF TINGEY ST SE. MANHOLE ACCESS. WORK TO BE PERFORMED BETWEEN THE HOURS OF 7:30AM AND MIGHTNIGHT ON 1 / 30 / 18 AND 1 / 31 / 18.
227 TINGEY ST SE   
01/29/18 
UNITED STATES OF AMERICA / ERICKA CLARK
TC1800021 / CONSTRUCTION
2 tower cranes
   
01/30/18 
FOREST CITY WASHINGTON / MELISSA DIAZ
B1802750 / CONSTRUCTION
Revision to Permit SH1700028. Sheeting and shoring for Yards Parcel L-2 project. Revision includes 10-foot precut excavation and layback on Water Street, 3rd Street and northern L-1 elevations, and removal of upper tier of rakers at L-1 elevation and upper tier of tiebacks at the Water Street and 3rd Street elevations.
325 VIRGINIA AVE SE 20003   
02/14/18 
JASON W GOLDSMITH / null
E1804039 / SUPPLEMENTAL
325 VIRGINIA AVE SE   
02/06/18 
JASON W GOLDSMITH / CRAIG HARTSOCK
B1804721 / CONSTRUCTION
Remove two non-structural walls on ground level of townhouse and re-frame in new configuration to create a full bathroom on ground floor.
   
02/07/18 
JASON W GOLDSMITH / MORIS O. OCHOA PINEDA
P1803462 / SUPPLEMENTAL
AH = After Hours; B = Alteration & Repair; D = Demolition; E = Electrical; FB = Boiler; M = Mechanical; P = Plumbing and Gas; PC = Post Card; R = Raze; SG = Sign; TL = Tenant Layout; TN = Tent; RW = Retaining Wall;

Real Property Sales Archive  
1001 NEW JERSEY AV SE   12/28/17
$ 687,365
WHATS ON SECOND PROPERTIES LLC
 


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