Since January, 2003
            
 (a random before-and-after moment)
January 22, 2006
August 5, 2017
South Capitol at O, Looking North (see more)

If you're in the mood for a spit-take with your morning coffee, this link should do it. WalletPop.com has posted what it apparently thinks is a legitimate study of the "25 Most Dangerous Neighborhoods" in the country, and coming in at #9 is.... Near Southeast???? Near Southeast, which hasn't had a murder since 20052004, and has had a grand total of seven assaults with a deadly weapon this year? And yet somehow this "exclusive data developed by Dr. Andrew Schiller's team at NeighborhoodScout.com" is predicting that there will be 240 violent crimes in the neighborhood each year. As reader A put it when passing the link along, "I think I could name at least 9 neighborhoods in DC more dangerous."
Perhaps when pulling together this clearly rigorous study they wandered by my map of the murders in Near Southeast between 1987 and 2004 and forgot to read the dates on the data. More likely is a glitch with their algorithm comparing crime reports with the size of the population (which has been pretty small in Near Southeast over the past few years). Or a mixup with addresses. But otherwise, my goodness....!
UPDATE: Further ruminations on this travesty of a mockery of a sham of a mockery of a travesty of two mockeries of a sham [ahem] from DCist and NBC4. And DC Urban Turf finds that this list has gotten into trouble in the past.
UPDATE II: Here's ABC7's video report on the story, which includes an extremely rare on-camera appearance by yours truly. As should be clear by now, if there's anything that gets me riled up, it's factual inaccuracies.
UPDATE III: And NBC4's 11 pm report. If indeed the study included number of stolen cars to consider a neighborhood "dangerous," then yes, I can see how Near SE's numbers would skew high, especially if they used 2008 crime data. (A lot of cars got stolen during the 2006-2008 era, when construction workers came to the area to build the stadium and other buildings, and there were few people on the streets during the day to act as "eyes and ears.") But still, does that make a neighborhood *dangerous*? Yeesh.
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JD but not that JD says: (10/4/10 11:46 AM)
Has to be based on old data or something. I used to live in Orlando, and that area around Paramore Ave is also an area under renewal...used to be bad...and it's no Bay Hill Country Club but I'm not sure that it is that dangerous anymore. Weird.


Rob says: (10/4/10 11:56 AM)
The methodologies used to calculate these lists are almost always flawed. But it doesn't really matter to the authors, because local media in all of these cities will report this "study" at face-value and draw undeserved attention to the website.


Mark says: (10/4/10 12:12 PM)
If you follow through the math on the page describing the crime in the neighborhood ( link they're using a neighborhood population of 2155. How many years ago was that true?


Mark says: (10/4/10 12:13 PM)
Sorry, here's the correct link:
link


JD says: (10/4/10 12:13 PM)
Not that long ago, probably early 2009. It's about 3,500 now.


Bruce says: (10/4/10 1:18 PM)
Sadly, ALL of the bad press, etc that is dome regarding Near Southeast (I now JD likes this) Capitol Riverfront is done by folks who have apparently NEVER stepped foot in the area.
Sad considering that this is now such a safe area. Its livable/walkable to quote Tommy Wells...

Bruce


John says: (10/4/10 1:37 PM)
They definetly took numbers from back in 2005 or probably even before when all the housing projects were still up. Look at the lifestyle sections says 97% of the neighborhood is black and only 8% are govt. employees. Have these ppl ever heard of Trinidad, Anacostia, Berry Farms, Langston terrace, SW Cappers, Mount pleasant, just to name a few hoods with prob. 75% more crime....really makes u wonder how they messed up this badly....


JD says: (10/4/10 1:41 PM)
I tried to get through to look at their methodology, but their site is down even more often than JDLand is. :-)


SW says: (10/4/10 1:54 PM)
That list is garbage. How the hell can Detroit not even have one single 'hood qualify for that list.


Mauricio says: (10/4/10 2:10 PM)
All you have to do is look at the comments section of that article to realize that most of the folks reading it are fairly insane and not anyone you'd want living in DC anyway.


Meredith says: (10/4/10 3:15 PM)
News 4 is apparently running a story on it tonight--they interviewed me outside of the EYA model homes this afternoon. Caught me off-guard but I am glad I was able to say that I don't believe police reports would support this crazy assertion about L St and the neighborhood. Gave jdland a mention too as a site we often check for neighborhood info--thanks JD for keeping us all informed!


MJM says: (10/4/10 3:52 PM)
Maybe that site/study could have used this study (linked below) that started to show the changes in 2007. But hey 'hood scout got props from Money Magazine and they are used by Harvard, UC-Berkeley, U Penn, MIT and others researching real estate so it must be true. good grief.....

link

Near -Southeast is Cluster 27


MJM says: (10/4/10 4:07 PM)
Hood Scout Report Info
link


pkp says: (10/4/10 5:18 PM)
The opening sentence of a site disclaimer at the bottom of the crime tab:

"Although we work hard to provide premium quality information, the content contained in any NeighborhoodScout Report is a work of art."


JD says: (10/4/10 5:28 PM)
Thanks for the plug, Meredith!


BW says: (10/4/10 10:30 PM)
If recent trends continue, Near Southeast's population will top Detroit's in ...


CB says: (10/4/10 10:36 PM)
News crew at corner of 4th & L. No markings on side of truck, but suppose we are going to be on the news again this evening.


Will says: (10/5/10 1:00 PM)
On balance, I think this could be a positive thing for the hood. It's usually just folks who live in the area defending it, now we have local news and blogs speaking up. Many thanks to JDLand for correcting the record.


Meredith says: (10/5/10 10:19 PM)
To compare crime just on the Hill, take PSA 105 (Navy Yard S of 395, E of S. Cap) and PSA 102 (2nd-13th NE and D St to FL Ave NE). Per crimemap.dc.gov, reports for the last year (Oct 09-Oct 10) are as follows:
Violent Crime Incidents: PSA105 = 31 PSA102 = 170 Property Crime Incidents: PSA105 = 196 PSA102 = 752.
Even adjusting for number of residents, PSA105 comes out looking better/comparable to other parts of the Hill, certainly not astronomically more dangerous. And 31 violent crimes per 3000+ residents (not including the tens of thousands we absorb every workday and game day) means a person in PSA 105 has a 1 in 100 chance of being a victim, which is a far cry from the 1 in 9 claimed.

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City Government Data for Near Southeast Records added or updated recently displayed here; click the "archive" links to see additional detail and older records. All data from DC Government databases and RSS feeds. JDLand takes no responsibility for errors, omissions, etc. (read CapStat disclaimer). Data is retrieved daily.

Recent Crime Incidents Archive  
100 B/O M ST SE   THEFT
Theft 2nd Degree (theft From Building)
 11/19/17
70 B/O I ST SE   BURGLARY
Burglary Two
 11/16/17
1200 HALF ST SE   THEFT
Theft 2nd Degree (all Other Larceny)
 11/15/17
1100 B/O 1ST ST SE   THEFT FROM AUTO
Theft (theft From Motor Vehicle)
 11/14/17
1100 B/O NEW JERSEY AVE SE   THEFT FROM AUTO
Theft 2nd Degree (theft From Motor Vehicle)
 11/13/17
1100 B/O NEW JERSEY AVE SE   THEFT
Theft 2nd Degree (theft From Building)
 11/12/17
1100 B/O NEW JERSEY AVE SE   THEFT
Theft 2nd Degree (all Other Larceny)
 11/12/17
1100 B/O NEW JERSEY AVE SE   THEFT
Theft 2nd Degree (all Other Larceny)
 11/09/17
1100 B/O NEW JERSEY AVE SE   THEFT FROM AUTO
Theft 2nd Degree (theft From Motor Vehicle)
 11/06/17
1200 SOUTH CAPITOL ST SE   THEFT
Theft 2nd Degree (all Other Larceny)
 11/05/17
400 B/O M ST SE   THEFT
Theft 2nd Degree (all Other Larceny)
 11/05/17
1100 B/O NEW JERSEY AVE SE   THEFT
Theft 2nd Degree (theft From Building)
 11/01/17
100 B/O K ST SE   THEFT FROM AUTO
Theft First Degree (theft From Motor Vehicle)
 10/30/17
400 B/O M ST SE   THEFT
Theft 2nd Degree (theft From Building)
 10/29/17
1100 B/O NEW JERSEY AVE SE   THEFT
Theft 2nd Degree (all Other Larceny)
 10/27/17
1100 B/O NEW JERSEY AVE SE   THEFT
Theft 2nd Degree (all Other Larceny)
 10/25/17

Recent Issued Building Permits Archive  
1100 2ND PL SE   
10/26/17 
null / KENNETH J. LEMERE
E1800879 / SUPPLEMENTAL
   
11/02/17 
BAKER DC / CHRISTINE LONG
AH1800167 / CONSTRUCTION
An after hours permit is respectfully requested from 5AM to 8PM daily
1331 2ND ST SE 20003   
10/30/17 
DC WATER / DAVE LEVINE
AH1800128 / CONSTRUCTION
After Hours work for structure excavation and support for B1311474 DC Water, Corman Construction 301-343-5417.
1331 4TH ST SE CU   
11/02/17 
FC 1331 LLC / null
E1801120 / SUPPLEMENTAL
1023 4TH ST SE   
11/06/17 
MATTHEW E WEINER
BP1800535 / POST CARD
1331 4TH ST SE   
11/14/17 
FC 1331 LLC / PAUL E WARREN
E1801475 / SUPPLEMENTAL
1346 4TH ST SE   
11/07/17 
ALAN OWINGS / ROBERT HENRY
AH1800169 / CONSTRUCTION
After Hours Permit for 11 / 10 / 17 from 7am to 7pm to perform concrete operations.
1015 HALF ST SE 7TH FL   
10/31/17 
HALF STREET SE LLC / null
P1800798 / SUPPLEMENTAL
555 L ST SE   
10/31/17 
UNITED STATES OF AMERICA / EDUARDO L. LOPEZ
E1801004 / SUPPLEMENTAL
   
11/08/17 
UNITED STATES OF AMERICA / null
P1801050 / SUPPLEMENTAL
   
11/08/17 
UNITED STATES OF AMERICA / null
M1800409 / SUPPLEMENTAL
80 M ST SE #110 20003   
11/03/17 
WELLS REIT II 80 M STREET LLC / null
P1800898 / SUPPLEMENTAL
300 M ST SE 402   
10/30/17 
FEDERAL CENTER LP / null
E1800973 / SUPPLEMENTAL
300 M ST SE STE# 402   
11/01/17 
FEDERAL CENTER LP / BERNARD CHAPPELL
E1801037 / SUPPLEMENTAL
110 M ST SE   
11/10/17 
GALLERY CAPITOL RIVERFRONT PROPERTY LLC / JIM RILEY
BP1800623 / POST CARD
410 M ST SE   
11/20/17 
DC HOUSING / COLLINS ELEVATOR SERVICES INC.; COLLINS ELEVATOR SERVICES INC.
ER1800511 / SHOP DRAWING
BODY OF WORK: 1. Remove old piston. Replace & install jack on car # 1.
922 M ST SE   
10/27/17 
MAIFEDI EQUITY LLC / FRED LATIMORE
E1800926 / SUPPLEMENTAL
1333 M ST SE   
11/03/17 
1333 M STREET SE LLC / JUSTIN BELLOW
B1801393 / CONSTRUCTION
Installation of duct bank and light pole on private property
800 NEW JERSEY AVE SE   
11/13/17 
SQUARE 737 LLC / N/A; BOB BIROONAK
SG1800066 / CONSTRUCTION
one apartment id sign illuminated
861 NEW JERSEY AVE SE   
10/30/17 
CSX TRANSPORTATION, INC. / NA CSX TRANSPORTATION, INC.
AH1800132 / CONSTRUCTION
Work in public ROW within the Virginia Avenue Reconstruction Project LOD for utility, demolition, and concrete structure construction activities.
   
11/17/17 
CSX TRANSPORTATION, INC. / NA CSX TRANSPORTATION, INC.
AH1800246 / CONSTRUCTION
Work in public ROW within the Virginia Avenue Tunnel Reconstruction Project LOD for utility, demolition, and concrete structure construction activities.
1000 NEW JERSEY AVE SE   
10/26/17 
null / NA NA NA
EHOP17919268 / HOME OCCUPATION
1100 NEW JERSEY AVE SE   
11/03/17 
SQUARE 742 LLC / null
E1801147 / SUPPLEMENTAL
   
11/08/17 
SQUARE 742 LLC / null
E1801323 / SUPPLEMENTAL
   
11/17/17 
SQUARE 742 LLC / null
E1801616 / SUPPLEMENTAL
   
11/20/17 
SQUARE 742 LLC / null
P1801410 / SUPPLEMENTAL
125 O ST SE   
11/17/17 
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA / THEODORE D. LYNCH
M1800466 / SUPPLEMENTAL
1244 SOUTH CAPITOL ST SE 20003   
11/02/17 
THE JBG COMPANIES / CODY LANG
AH1800140 / CONSTRUCTION
The location for the project is at the corner of South Capitol Street, SE and N Street, SE, to the North of Parking Lot B for the Washington Nationals Stadium. The permit numbers to reference are B1600228, PA10464330, PA115172-R2, and PA202883. These permits are attached for reference. In order to maintain our contractual requirements and progress with critical path interior finishes, rooftop bu...
1244 SOUTH CAPITOL ST SE   
10/31/17 
THE JBG COMPANIES / GLENNWOOD ROGERS
FB1800009 / SUPPLEMENTAL
AH = After Hours; B = Alteration & Repair; D = Demolition; E = Electrical; FB = Boiler; M = Mechanical; P = Plumbing and Gas; PC = Post Card; R = Raze; SG = Sign; TL = Tenant Layout; TN = Tent; RW = Retaining Wall;

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