Since January, 2003
            
 Sliding from Before to After

If you're in the mood for a spit-take with your morning coffee, this link should do it. WalletPop.com has posted what it apparently thinks is a legitimate study of the "25 Most Dangerous Neighborhoods" in the country, and coming in at #9 is.... Near Southeast???? Near Southeast, which hasn't had a murder since 20052004, and has had a grand total of seven assaults with a deadly weapon this year? And yet somehow this "exclusive data developed by Dr. Andrew Schiller's team at NeighborhoodScout.com" is predicting that there will be 240 violent crimes in the neighborhood each year. As reader A put it when passing the link along, "I think I could name at least 9 neighborhoods in DC more dangerous."
Perhaps when pulling together this clearly rigorous study they wandered by my map of the murders in Near Southeast between 1987 and 2004 and forgot to read the dates on the data. More likely is a glitch with their algorithm comparing crime reports with the size of the population (which has been pretty small in Near Southeast over the past few years). Or a mixup with addresses. But otherwise, my goodness....!
UPDATE: Further ruminations on this travesty of a mockery of a sham of a mockery of a travesty of two mockeries of a sham [ahem] from DCist and NBC4. And DC Urban Turf finds that this list has gotten into trouble in the past.
UPDATE II: Here's ABC7's video report on the story, which includes an extremely rare on-camera appearance by yours truly. As should be clear by now, if there's anything that gets me riled up, it's factual inaccuracies.
UPDATE III: And NBC4's 11 pm report. If indeed the study included number of stolen cars to consider a neighborhood "dangerous," then yes, I can see how Near SE's numbers would skew high, especially if they used 2008 crime data. (A lot of cars got stolen during the 2006-2008 era, when construction workers came to the area to build the stadium and other buildings, and there were few people on the streets during the day to act as "eyes and ears.") But still, does that make a neighborhood *dangerous*? Yeesh.
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JD but not that JD says: (10/4/10 11:46 AM)
Has to be based on old data or something. I used to live in Orlando, and that area around Paramore Ave is also an area under renewal...used to be bad...and it's no Bay Hill Country Club but I'm not sure that it is that dangerous anymore. Weird.


Rob says: (10/4/10 11:56 AM)
The methodologies used to calculate these lists are almost always flawed. But it doesn't really matter to the authors, because local media in all of these cities will report this "study" at face-value and draw undeserved attention to the website.


Mark says: (10/4/10 12:12 PM)
If you follow through the math on the page describing the crime in the neighborhood ( link they're using a neighborhood population of 2155. How many years ago was that true?


Mark says: (10/4/10 12:13 PM)
Sorry, here's the correct link:
link


JD says: (10/4/10 12:13 PM)
Not that long ago, probably early 2009. It's about 3,500 now.


Bruce says: (10/4/10 1:18 PM)
Sadly, ALL of the bad press, etc that is dome regarding Near Southeast (I now JD likes this) Capitol Riverfront is done by folks who have apparently NEVER stepped foot in the area.
Sad considering that this is now such a safe area. Its livable/walkable to quote Tommy Wells...

Bruce


John says: (10/4/10 1:37 PM)
They definetly took numbers from back in 2005 or probably even before when all the housing projects were still up. Look at the lifestyle sections says 97% of the neighborhood is black and only 8% are govt. employees. Have these ppl ever heard of Trinidad, Anacostia, Berry Farms, Langston terrace, SW Cappers, Mount pleasant, just to name a few hoods with prob. 75% more crime....really makes u wonder how they messed up this badly....


JD says: (10/4/10 1:41 PM)
I tried to get through to look at their methodology, but their site is down even more often than JDLand is. :-)


SW says: (10/4/10 1:54 PM)
That list is garbage. How the hell can Detroit not even have one single 'hood qualify for that list.


Mauricio says: (10/4/10 2:10 PM)
All you have to do is look at the comments section of that article to realize that most of the folks reading it are fairly insane and not anyone you'd want living in DC anyway.


Meredith says: (10/4/10 3:15 PM)
News 4 is apparently running a story on it tonight--they interviewed me outside of the EYA model homes this afternoon. Caught me off-guard but I am glad I was able to say that I don't believe police reports would support this crazy assertion about L St and the neighborhood. Gave jdland a mention too as a site we often check for neighborhood info--thanks JD for keeping us all informed!


MJM says: (10/4/10 3:52 PM)
Maybe that site/study could have used this study (linked below) that started to show the changes in 2007. But hey 'hood scout got props from Money Magazine and they are used by Harvard, UC-Berkeley, U Penn, MIT and others researching real estate so it must be true. good grief.....

link

Near -Southeast is Cluster 27


MJM says: (10/4/10 4:07 PM)
Hood Scout Report Info
link


pkp says: (10/4/10 5:18 PM)
The opening sentence of a site disclaimer at the bottom of the crime tab:

"Although we work hard to provide premium quality information, the content contained in any NeighborhoodScout Report is a work of art."


JD says: (10/4/10 5:28 PM)
Thanks for the plug, Meredith!


BW says: (10/4/10 10:30 PM)
If recent trends continue, Near Southeast's population will top Detroit's in ...


CB says: (10/4/10 10:36 PM)
News crew at corner of 4th & L. No markings on side of truck, but suppose we are going to be on the news again this evening.


Will says: (10/5/10 1:00 PM)
On balance, I think this could be a positive thing for the hood. It's usually just folks who live in the area defending it, now we have local news and blogs speaking up. Many thanks to JDLand for correcting the record.


Meredith says: (10/5/10 10:19 PM)
To compare crime just on the Hill, take PSA 105 (Navy Yard S of 395, E of S. Cap) and PSA 102 (2nd-13th NE and D St to FL Ave NE). Per crimemap.dc.gov, reports for the last year (Oct 09-Oct 10) are as follows:
Violent Crime Incidents: PSA105 = 31 PSA102 = 170 Property Crime Incidents: PSA105 = 196 PSA102 = 752.
Even adjusting for number of residents, PSA105 comes out looking better/comparable to other parts of the Hill, certainly not astronomically more dangerous. And 31 violent crimes per 3000+ residents (not including the tens of thousands we absorb every workday and game day) means a person in PSA 105 has a 1 in 100 chance of being a victim, which is a far cry from the 1 in 9 claimed.

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City Government Data for Near Southeast Records added or updated recently displayed here; click the "archive" links to see additional detail and older records. All data from DC Government databases and RSS feeds. JDLand takes no responsibility for errors, omissions, etc. (read CapStat disclaimer). Data is retrieved daily.

Recent Crime Incidents Archive  
1100 B/O NEW JERSEY AVE SE   THEFT
Theft 2nd Degree (theft From Building)
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1400 B/O SOUTH CAPITOL ST   THEFT
Theft 2nd Degree (all Other Larceny)
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301 L ST SE   THEFT FROM AUTO
Theft (theft From Motor Vehicle)
 09/26/16
16 B/O M ST SE   ROBBERY  09/23/16
400 B/O M ST SE   THEFT
Theft 2nd Degree (all Other Larceny)
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400 B/O M ST SE   THEFT
Theft 2nd Degree (all Other Larceny)
 09/19/16
1100 B/O NEW JERSEY AVE SE   THEFT
Theft 2nd Degree (all Other Larceny)
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1200 B/O 1ST ST SE   ASSAULT WITH A DANGEROUS WEAPON  09/17/16
400 B/O M ST SE   THEFT
Shoplifting
 09/16/16
1100 B/O 5TH ST SE   THEFT
Theft First Degree (all Other Larceny)
 09/06/16
700 B/O M ST SE   THEFT
Theft 2nd Degree (theft From Building)
 09/06/16
1200 B/O 1ST ST SE   THEFT
Theft 2nd Degree (all Other Larceny)
 09/04/16
UNIT B/O I ST SE   THEFT FROM AUTO
Theft 2nd Degree (theft From Motor Vehicle)
 09/04/16

Recent Issued Building Permits Archive  
1233 1ST ST SE   
09/16/16 
NA BALLPARK HOTEL LLC / NORTHEAST ELECTRIC; NA BALLPARK HOTEL LLC; HOSSEIN ECONO SIGN INC.
SG1600390 / CONSTRUCTION
To Install four signs: -3 - Channel letters on Raceways -1- Blade Sign
1331 2ND ST SE   
09/19/16 
DC WATER / DC WATER; CORMAN CONSTRUCTION
AH1601056 / CONSTRUCTION
After hour work for structure excavation and support for building permit B1311474 DC Water, Corman Construction 202-863-0052
933 5TH ST SE   
09/12/16 
null / NA NA NA
EHOP16924112 / HOME OCCUPATION
1150 5TH ST SE   
09/23/16 
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA / BEDCO MOBILITY INC
EN1603252 / SHOP DRAWING
Type of Elevator : One (1) vertical wheel-chair lift / steel / front cashier space / handicap / 3rd floor
1015 HALF ST SE 700   
09/28/16 
HALF STREET SE LLC / null
P1609787 / SUPPLEMENTAL
1015 HALF ST SE   
09/14/16 
HALF STREET SE LLC HALF STREET SE LLC / DARIN PASQUALLE; HALF STREET SE LLC HALF STREET SE LLC; DARIN PASQUALLE
E24765056 / SUPPLEMENTAL
   
09/21/16 
HALF STREET SE LLC / 1015 HALF SE LLC; JOHN GIUSEPPE-RAMCO
B1610675 / CONSTRUCTION
Construction of elevator lobby and common corridors on the 7th floor as shown on the electronically submitted mechanical, electrical, fire protection, and arch. dwgs. Interior work only. No structural work involved. approx. 2275 sf.
   
09/27/16 
CASSIDY TURLEY / DARIN PASQUALLE; CASSIDY TURLEY; DARIN PASQUALLE
E76531161 / SUPPLEMENTAL
   
09/28/16 
HALF STREET SE LLC / null
P1609788 / SUPPLEMENTAL
80 M ST SE 400   
09/15/16 
WELLS REIT II 80 M STREET LLC / null
P1609454 / SUPPLEMENTAL
50 M ST SE   
09/15/16 
KCG 50 M LLC / KCG 50 M LLC ENGLEWOOD LLC; TRACIE CLAXTON; CLAXTON
SG1600460 / CONSTRUCTION
2 Wall mounted Signs - Reversed Channel Letter 2 small wall mounted plague
99 M ST SE   
09/16/16 
BALLPARK SQUARE 701, LLC SKANSKA COMMERCIAL DEVELOPMENT / BALLPARK SQUARE 701, LLC SKANSKA COMMERCIAL DEVEL
AH1601047 / CONSTRUCTION
Place concrete mat foundation slab. Before work hours - 3AM to 7AM on 9 / 19 / 2016 and 9 / 20 / 2016, if weather or jobsite delays prevail. Permit will only be needed / used for 1 of the 2 days. (Per ANC agreement "before hours work on ONE of the following days: either September 17, 19, or 20," & "to begin no earlier than 3:00 am" )
   
09/16/16 
BALLPARK SQUARE 701, LLC SKANSKA COMMERCIAL DEVELOPMENT / BALLPARK SQUARE 701, LLC SKANSKA COMMERCIAL DEVEL
AH1601048 / CONSTRUCTION
Place concrete at 99 M Street SE for mat foundation slab. Saturday 9 / 17 / 2016 concrete placement from 3AM to 7PM. (Per ANC agreement "before hours work on ONE of the following days: either September 17, 19, or 20," & "to begin no earlier than 3:00 am" )
200 M ST SE   
09/23/16 
DC GOVT / ROBERT S. WATTS
E1610422 / SUPPLEMENTAL
100 M ST SE   
09/20/16 
QUARE 743 INC / QUARE 743 INC; QUARE 743 INC; PHILIP HAUHN
E14003252 / SUPPLEMENTAL
202 M ST SE   
09/23/16 
UNITED STATES OF AMERICA / GILLIAN JIMENEZ CBS RADIO
TN1600204 / CONSTRUCTION
SPECIAL EVENT FIESTA 201 1 20 X 20 STAGE 1 20 X 20 TENT NO GENERATORS
861 NEW JERSEY AVE SE   
09/22/16 
NA CSX TRANSPORTATION, INC.
AH1601069 / CONSTRUCTION
Work in public ROW within the Virginia Avenue Tunnel Reconstruction Project LOD for utility, demolition, and concrete structure construction activities.
1100 NEW JERSEY AVE SE 8   
09/23/16 
SQUARE 742 LLC / JAMES W LASHER
E1610398 / SUPPLEMENTAL
1100 NEW JERSEY AVE SE 845   
09/21/16 
SQUARE 742 LLC SPAULDING & SLYE C/O WC SMITH / SQUARE 742 LLC SPAULDING & SLYE C/O WC SMITH; WILLIAM SNODDY
B1612012 / CONSTRUCTION
Interior Renovation on the 8th Floor on behalf of Maxim Health 5,138 sqft
1100 NEW JERSEY AVE SE FLOOR 845   
09/23/16 
SQUARE 742 LLC / null
P1609686 / SUPPLEMENTAL
1100 NEW JERSEY AVE SE   
09/14/16 
SPAULDING AND SLYE SPAULDING AND SLYE / HALEY HUGGINS; SPAULDING AND SLYE SPAULDING AND SLYE; JOHNNY RILING
E39166644 / SUPPLEMENTAL
   
09/28/16 
SQUARE 742 LLC SPAULDING AND SLYE C SQUARE742 LLC SPAULDING AND / KATE MITCHELL; SQUARE 742 LLC SPAULDING AND SLYE C SQUARE742 LLC; KENNETH BEECHNER
P10598870 / SUPPLEMENTAL
125 O ST SE   
09/19/16 
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA / DC WATER HQ; DAVID FONTANA MSC
EX1600110 / CONSTRUCTION
Site grading and demo per erosion control plan only for future new DC Water HQ building under seperate permit.
1244 SOUTH CAPITOL ST SE   
09/19/16 
1244 SOUTH CAPITOL RESIDENTIAL LLC / RONALD C. CAYTON
E1610018 / SUPPLEMENTAL
385 WATER ST SE   
09/15/16 
FC 385 WATER LLC / EDUARDO L. LOPEZ
E1610139 / SUPPLEMENTAL
355 WATER ST SE   
09/14/16 
OLIVIA DARROW RAGNAR EVENTS LLC
TN1600198 / CONSTRUCTION
SPECIAL EVENT RAGNAR RELMAY WASHINGTON DC 2 20 X 20 TENTS 25 10 X 10 TENTS 1 30 X 40 TENT FENCING FOR BEER GARDEN
AH = After Hours; B = Alteration & Repair; D = Demolition; E = Electrical; FB = Boiler; M = Mechanical; P = Plumbing and Gas; PC = Post Card; R = Raze; SG = Sign; TL = Tenant Layout; TN = Tent; RW = Retaining Wall;

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