Since January, 2003
            
 (a random before-and-after moment)
August 6, 2005
October 16, 2010
4th at River St., Looking South (see more)

If you're in the mood for a spit-take with your morning coffee, this link should do it. WalletPop.com has posted what it apparently thinks is a legitimate study of the "25 Most Dangerous Neighborhoods" in the country, and coming in at #9 is.... Near Southeast???? Near Southeast, which hasn't had a murder since 20052004, and has had a grand total of seven assaults with a deadly weapon this year? And yet somehow this "exclusive data developed by Dr. Andrew Schiller's team at NeighborhoodScout.com" is predicting that there will be 240 violent crimes in the neighborhood each year. As reader A put it when passing the link along, "I think I could name at least 9 neighborhoods in DC more dangerous."
Perhaps when pulling together this clearly rigorous study they wandered by my map of the murders in Near Southeast between 1987 and 2004 and forgot to read the dates on the data. More likely is a glitch with their algorithm comparing crime reports with the size of the population (which has been pretty small in Near Southeast over the past few years). Or a mixup with addresses. But otherwise, my goodness....!
UPDATE: Further ruminations on this travesty of a mockery of a sham of a mockery of a travesty of two mockeries of a sham [ahem] from DCist and NBC4. And DC Urban Turf finds that this list has gotten into trouble in the past.
UPDATE II: Here's ABC7's video report on the story, which includes an extremely rare on-camera appearance by yours truly. As should be clear by now, if there's anything that gets me riled up, it's factual inaccuracies.
UPDATE III: And NBC4's 11 pm report. If indeed the study included number of stolen cars to consider a neighborhood "dangerous," then yes, I can see how Near SE's numbers would skew high, especially if they used 2008 crime data. (A lot of cars got stolen during the 2006-2008 era, when construction workers came to the area to build the stadium and other buildings, and there were few people on the streets during the day to act as "eyes and ears.") But still, does that make a neighborhood *dangerous*? Yeesh.
Comments (19)
   
 
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JD but not that JD says: (10/4/10 11:46 AM)
Has to be based on old data or something. I used to live in Orlando, and that area around Paramore Ave is also an area under renewal...used to be bad...and it's no Bay Hill Country Club but I'm not sure that it is that dangerous anymore. Weird.


Rob says: (10/4/10 11:56 AM)
The methodologies used to calculate these lists are almost always flawed. But it doesn't really matter to the authors, because local media in all of these cities will report this "study" at face-value and draw undeserved attention to the website.


Mark says: (10/4/10 12:12 PM)
If you follow through the math on the page describing the crime in the neighborhood ( link they're using a neighborhood population of 2155. How many years ago was that true?


Mark says: (10/4/10 12:13 PM)
Sorry, here's the correct link:
link


JD says: (10/4/10 12:13 PM)
Not that long ago, probably early 2009. It's about 3,500 now.


Bruce says: (10/4/10 1:18 PM)
Sadly, ALL of the bad press, etc that is dome regarding Near Southeast (I now JD likes this) Capitol Riverfront is done by folks who have apparently NEVER stepped foot in the area.
Sad considering that this is now such a safe area. Its livable/walkable to quote Tommy Wells...

Bruce


John says: (10/4/10 1:37 PM)
They definetly took numbers from back in 2005 or probably even before when all the housing projects were still up. Look at the lifestyle sections says 97% of the neighborhood is black and only 8% are govt. employees. Have these ppl ever heard of Trinidad, Anacostia, Berry Farms, Langston terrace, SW Cappers, Mount pleasant, just to name a few hoods with prob. 75% more crime....really makes u wonder how they messed up this badly....


JD says: (10/4/10 1:41 PM)
I tried to get through to look at their methodology, but their site is down even more often than JDLand is. :-)


SW says: (10/4/10 1:54 PM)
That list is garbage. How the hell can Detroit not even have one single 'hood qualify for that list.


Mauricio says: (10/4/10 2:10 PM)
All you have to do is look at the comments section of that article to realize that most of the folks reading it are fairly insane and not anyone you'd want living in DC anyway.


Meredith says: (10/4/10 3:15 PM)
News 4 is apparently running a story on it tonight--they interviewed me outside of the EYA model homes this afternoon. Caught me off-guard but I am glad I was able to say that I don't believe police reports would support this crazy assertion about L St and the neighborhood. Gave jdland a mention too as a site we often check for neighborhood info--thanks JD for keeping us all informed!


MJM says: (10/4/10 3:52 PM)
Maybe that site/study could have used this study (linked below) that started to show the changes in 2007. But hey 'hood scout got props from Money Magazine and they are used by Harvard, UC-Berkeley, U Penn, MIT and others researching real estate so it must be true. good grief.....

link

Near -Southeast is Cluster 27


MJM says: (10/4/10 4:07 PM)
Hood Scout Report Info
link


pkp says: (10/4/10 5:18 PM)
The opening sentence of a site disclaimer at the bottom of the crime tab:

"Although we work hard to provide premium quality information, the content contained in any NeighborhoodScout Report is a work of art."


JD says: (10/4/10 5:28 PM)
Thanks for the plug, Meredith!


BW says: (10/4/10 10:30 PM)
If recent trends continue, Near Southeast's population will top Detroit's in ...


CB says: (10/4/10 10:36 PM)
News crew at corner of 4th & L. No markings on side of truck, but suppose we are going to be on the news again this evening.


Will says: (10/5/10 1:00 PM)
On balance, I think this could be a positive thing for the hood. It's usually just folks who live in the area defending it, now we have local news and blogs speaking up. Many thanks to JDLand for correcting the record.


Meredith says: (10/5/10 10:19 PM)
To compare crime just on the Hill, take PSA 105 (Navy Yard S of 395, E of S. Cap) and PSA 102 (2nd-13th NE and D St to FL Ave NE). Per crimemap.dc.gov, reports for the last year (Oct 09-Oct 10) are as follows:
Violent Crime Incidents: PSA105 = 31 PSA102 = 170 Property Crime Incidents: PSA105 = 196 PSA102 = 752.
Even adjusting for number of residents, PSA105 comes out looking better/comparable to other parts of the Hill, certainly not astronomically more dangerous. And 31 violent crimes per 3000+ residents (not including the tens of thousands we absorb every workday and game day) means a person in PSA 105 has a 1 in 100 chance of being a victim, which is a far cry from the 1 in 9 claimed.

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City Government Data for Near Southeast Records added or updated recently displayed here; click the "archive" links to see additional detail and older records. All data from DC Government databases and RSS feeds. JDLand takes no responsibility for errors, omissions, etc. (read CapStat disclaimer). Data is retrieved daily.

Recent Crime Incidents Archive  
1100 B/O NEW JERSEY AVE SE   THEFT
Theft 2nd Degree (theft From Building)
 05/21/16
800 899 B/O M ST SE   THEFT
Theft 2nd Degree (all Other Larceny)
 05/16/16
1000 B/O 1ST ST SE   THEFT
Theft 2nd Degree (all Other Larceny)
 05/15/16
1400 B/O SOUTH CAPITOL ST   THEFT
Theft 2nd Degree (all Other Larceny)
 05/15/16
1400 B/O SOUTH CAPITOL ST   THEFT
Theft 2nd Degree (all Other Larceny)
 05/15/16
1200 B/O 4TH ST SE   THEFT
Theft 2nd Degree (all Other Larceny)
 05/12/16
300 B/O TINGEY ST SE   THEFT
Theft 2nd Degree (all Other Larceny)
 05/11/16
1200 B/O I ST SE   ROBBERY  05/08/16
900 B/O 1ST ST SE   THEFT FROM AUTO
Theft 2nd Degree (theft From Motor Vehicle)
 05/08/16
1100 B/O NEW JERSEY AVE SE   THEFT
Theft 2nd Degree (all Other Larceny)
 05/06/16
1220 HALF ST SE   THEFT
Theft 2nd Degree (theft From Building)
 05/05/16
1100 B/O 1ST ST SE   THEFT FROM AUTO
Theft First Degree (theft From Motor Vehicle)
 05/04/16
300 K ST SE   THEFT FROM AUTO
Theft First Degree (theft From Motor Vehicle)
 05/04/16
70 B/O I ST SE   MOTOR VEHICLE THEFT
Theft First Degree (Stolen Auto)
 05/02/16
UNIT B/O I ST SE   ROBBERY  04/29/16
1100 B/O 5TH ST SE   THEFT FROM AUTO
Theft (theft From Motor Vehicle)
 04/27/16
200 B/O I ST SE   THEFT FROM AUTO
Theft (theft From Motor Vehicle)
 04/25/16

Recent Issued Building Permits Archive  
1233 1ST ST SE   
05/10/16 
null / KONE INC
EN1602126 / SHOP DRAWING
TYPE OF ELEVATOR : TWO (2) ELECTRICAL / STEEL / CENTER / PASSENGER / 3 FLOORS ELEVATOR 5 & 6 CONDITION : APPLICATION FOR MODIFICATION OF CONSTRUCTION CODE MVQ1600083 & MVQ1600084 SEE : B1403486 AND TL1600011
1108 2ND ST SE   
05/19/16 
NA DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA HOUSING AUTHORITY / NA DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA HOUSING AUTHORITY; ECS MID-ATLANTIC LLC
SB1600233 / CONSTRUCTION
THREE BORINGS WILL BE COMPLETED UTILIZING A GEOPROBE DIRECT PUSH DRILL RIG USING A DUEL TUBE SAMPLING DEVICE. THE BORINGS WILL CREATE A 2.25 INCH ANULUS. THE GEOPROBE WILL ADVANCE ALL 3 BORINGS TO A DEPTH OF 30 FEET BELOW GROUND SURFACE OR UNTIL REFUSAL OR DENSE CLAY IS ENCOUNTERED. FOLLOWING COMPLETION OF THE SOIL BORINGS HOLES WILL BE TREMME GROUTED FROM THE BOTTOM TO THE TOP USING A MIXTURE OF ...
1331 2ND ST SE   
05/16/16 
DC WATER / DC WATER; CORMAN CONSTRUCTION
AH1600698 / CONSTRUCTION
AFTER HOURS WORK FOR STRUCTURE EXCAVATION AND SUPPORT FOR B1311474 & B1605659 DC WATER, CORMAN CONSTRUCTION 202-863-0052
1005 3RD PL SE   
05/12/16 
PETER D TRIFU / JOSE M. MORALES
P1606192 / SUPPLEMENTAL
1300 4TH ST SE   
05/10/16 
LOU FOREST CITY - WASHINGTON / GEORGE MORETRENCH AMERICAN CORP.
SB1600070 / CONSTRUCTION
TO DRILL AND INSTALL 18 DEEP WELLS WITH 12" DIAMETER OF BOREHOLE AND 6" WELL CASING, AND 4 OBSERVATION WELLS WITH 6" DIAMETER OF BOREHOLE AND 2" WELL CASING TO 80 FEET VIA MUD ROTARY DRILLING FOR THE TEMPORARY CONSTRUCTION DEWATERING OF THE PROPOSED BELOW GRADE CONSTRUCTION. ALL DRILL SPOILS WILL BE CONTAINED AND DISPOSED OF ACCORDING TO FEDERAL AND DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA REGULATIONS.
1220 12TH ST SE 200   
05/11/16 
WASHINGTON GAS LIGHT CO / RALPH THREATT
E1606272 / SUPPLEMENTAL
1220 12TH ST SE   
05/11/16 
CORPORATE OFFICE PROPERTIES TRUST / KELLY WALSH; CORPORATE OFFICE PROPERTIES TRUST; THOMAS DVORAK
E74440979 / SUPPLEMENTAL
909 HALF ST SE   
05/05/16 
null / MARK A DORSEY
EN1601560 / SHOP DRAWING
TYPE OF ELEVATOR : ONE (1) TRACTION / STEEL / CENTRALLY / VERTICAL TRANSPOTATION (2ND FLOOR)
70 I ST SE 832   
05/17/16 
null / NA NA NA
EHOP1690678 / HOME OCCUPATION
10 I ST SE   
05/19/16 
TIMOTHY TEMPLE- CAPITAL HILL RACQUET CLUB / TIMOTHY TEMPLE- CAPITAL HILL RACQUET CLUB; ECS MID-ATLANTIC LLC
SB1600232 / CONSTRUCTION
FIVE BORINGS WILL BE COMPLETED UTILIZING A GEOPROBE DIRECT PUSH DRILL RIG USING A DUEL TUBE SAMPLING DEVICE. THE BORINGS WILL CREATE A 2.25 INCH ANULUS. THE GEOPROBE WILL ADVANCE ALL 5 BORINGS TO A DEPTH OF 30 FEET BELOW GROUND SURFACE OR UNTIL REFUSAL OR DENSE CLAY IS ENCOUNTERED. FOLLOWING COMPLETION OF THE SOIL BORINGS HOLES WILL BE TREMME GROUTED FROM THE BOTTOM TO THE TOP USING A MIXTURE OF P...
201 L ST SE   
05/19/16 
NA DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA HOUSING AUTHORITY / NA DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA HOUSING AUTHORITY; ECS MID-ATLANTIC LLC
SB1600234 / CONSTRUCTION
TWO BORINGS WILL BE COMPLETED UTILIZING A GEOPROBE DIRECT PUSH DRILL RIG USING A DUEL TUBE SAMPLING DEVICE. THE BORINGS WILL CREATE A 2.25 INCH ANULUS. THE GEOPROBE WILL ADVANCE BOTH BORINGS TO A DEPTH OF 30 FEET BELOW GROUND SURFACE OR UNTIL REFUSAL OR DENSE CLAY IS ENCOUNTERED. FOLLOWING COMPLETION OF THE SOIL BORINGS HOLES WILL BE TREMME GROUTED FROM THE BOTTOM TO THE TOP USING A MIXTURE OF POW...
14 M ST SE   
05/16/16 
ANDREW ROYALS
B1608241 / CONSTRUCTION
REPAIR AND REPLACEMENT OF WINDOW AND FRAME
50 M ST SE   
05/18/16 
KCG 50 M LLC ENGLEWOOD LLC / TIEVY; KCG 50 M LLC ENGLEWOOD LLC; TRACIE CLAXTON-RAMOS
SG1600300 / CONSTRUCTION
2 SIGNS CHANNEL LETTERS ILLUMINATED 2 BLADE SIGNS ILLUMINATED
100 M ST SE   
05/19/16 
SQUARE 743 INC AND 100 M ST SE LLC / LHREV WASHINGTON M STREET LLC A DELAWARE LLC; KIM MITCHELL CDKM CONSULTING LLC
B1605938 / CONSTRUCTION
APPROX 7938 SF TENANT FIT OUT - CURRENTLY SHELL CONDITION - FLOORING, DOORS, AND HARDWARE, DRYWALL, CEILILNG, LIGHTS, MECHANICAL, SPRINKLER AND PLUMBING TO BE ADDED. ALL WORK TO BE DONE ON 7TH FLOOR
800 NEW JERSEY AVE SE   
05/10/16 
SQUARE 737 LLC / KONE INC
EN1602094 / SHOP DRAWING
TYPE OF ELEVATOR : TWO (2) ELECTRICAL / STEEL / CENTER / PASSENGER / 3 FLOORS CONDITION: APPLICATION FOR MODIFICATION OF CONSTRUCTION CODE MVQ1600091 & MVQ160092
   
05/10/16 
SQUARE 737 LLC / KONE INC
EN1602095 / SHOP DRAWING
TYPE OF ELEVATOR : THREE (3) ELECTRICAL / STEEL / CENTER / PASSENGER / 3 FLOORS ELEVATOR : G1, G2, G3 CONDITION: APPLICATION FOR MODIFICATION OF CONSTRUCTION CODE MVQ1600090 & MVQ160089 & MVQ1600088
   
05/10/16 
SQUARE 737 LLC / KONE INC
EN1602107 / SHOP DRAWING
TYPE OF ELEVATOR : ONE (1) ELECTRICAL / STEEL / CENTER / PASSENGER / 2 FLOORS ELEVATOR : G6, CONDITION: APPLICATION FOR MODIFICATION OF CONSTRUCTION CODE MVQ1600093
861 NEW JERSEY AVE SE   
05/18/16 
NA CSX TRANSPORTATION, INC.
AH1600719 / CONSTRUCTION
WORK IN PUBLIC ROW WITHIN THE VIRGINIA AVENUE TUNNEL RECONSTRUCTION PROJECT LOD FOR UTILITY, DEMOLITION, AND CONCRETE STRUCTURE CONSTRUCTION ACTIVITIES. ACTIVITIES WILL OCCUR AT THE FOLLOWING AREAS: BETWEEN 2ND STREET SE AND 3RD STREET SE ALONG VIRGINIA AVENUE SE, INTERSECTION OF 3RD STREET SE AND VIRGINIA AVENUE SE, BETWEEN 3RD STREET SE AND 4TH STREET SE ALONG VIRGINIA AVENUE SE, INTERSECTION OF...
880 NEW JERSEY AVE SE   
05/19/16 
880 NEW JERSEY AVENUE LLC / 880 NEW JERSEY AVENUE LLC; BRUCE PADDOCK SWIMMING POOL COMPANY
SP1600027 / CONSTRUCTION
1ST, 2ND 3RD, AND 4TH EXTENSION TO PERMIT SP1300053 TO EXPIRE 6 / 18 / 2016
1200 NEW JERSEY AVE SE 1ST FLR 20024   
05/06/16 
JBG/FEDERAL CENTER LLC / null
P1606040 / SUPPLEMENTAL
1000 NEW JERSEY AVE SE   
05/05/16 
CAPITOL HILL TOWER HOUSING COOPERATIVE INCF / . WATERFRONT CHURCH
B1607854 / CONSTRUCTION
REMODEL TWO BATHROOMS, REPLACE LIGHTING IN BATHROOM S & VESTIBULE -IN EXISTING BOXING - FITNESS CENTER UNDER CO1301802 NO CHANGE OF USE
1244 SOUTH CAPITOL ST SE   
05/05/16 
1244 SOUTH CAPITOL RESIDENTIAL, L.L.C. / CLARK CONCRETE CLARK CONCRETE
AH1600676 / CONSTRUCTION
AFTER HOURS TO LOAD AND UNLOAD TRUCKS FOR MATERIAL AND CONCRETE FROM 5 / 7 / 2016, 12 MIDNIGHT TO 5 / 9 / 2016 7AM
300 TINGEY ST SE 1ST/2ND   
05/11/16 
FC BOILERMAKER LLC / WILLIAM P SAUREST
P1606136 / SUPPLEMENTAL
300 TINGEY ST SE 202   
05/11/16 
FC BOILERMAKER LLC / WILLIAM P SAUREST
P1606138 / SUPPLEMENTAL
300 TINGEY ST SE   
05/11/16 
FC BOILERMAKER LLC / ALBERT E. WILLIAMS
M1602037 / SUPPLEMENTAL
   
05/11/16 
FC BOILERMAKER LLC / ALBERT E. WILLIAMS
M1602039 / SUPPLEMENTAL
355 WATER ST SE   
05/18/16 
PAUL GRUBER NEW BELGIUM BREWING COMPANY
TN1600129 / CONSTRUCTION
SPECIAL EVENT TOUR DE FAT 1 36X24 STAGE 5 20X20 TENTS 1 20X20 HEXAGON TENT NO GENERATORS
AH = After Hours; B = Alteration & Repair; D = Demolition; E = Electrical; FB = Boiler; M = Mechanical; P = Plumbing and Gas; PC = Post Card; R = Raze; SG = Sign; TL = Tenant Layout; TN = Tent; RW = Retaining Wall;

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