With the late-winter flurry of new construction starts now over, and with so many projects now underway, I started to think about exactly how far along this whole Building of a New Neighborhood is, and how much is left to go.
So of course rather than looking at acreage, or square feet of build-out, I just made a goofy map, based on my now Google'd
Neighborhood Development Map.
The filled-in blocks are projects that are now completed or currently under construction. (And, with the exception of Van Ness Elementary, the Carroll Apartments, and that big brown Navy Yard block, all of them have been built or "adaptively reused" since 1999.)
The dark blue squares are projects that would seem to have a pretty good chance of getting underway within the next year or so, though of course I retain my hard-won skepticism of not truly believing a project timeline until I see shovels in the ground.
Finally, the red circles are the locations where buildings are planned but don't at the moment appear to be close to getting started.
The tally?
* 21 new buildings completed, plus the seven-block expanse of townhouses at
Capitol Quarter;
* 12 buildings currently under construction;
and
* 36ish buildings to go, with nine of them looking to potentially be getting underway by mid-2016.
That would appear to place things at somewhere around 50 percent complete, it would seem, while keeping in mind all manner of caveats about changing plans, poor counting decisions on my part, and more.
I wouldn't want to begin to attach a timeline to when every project will be completed, but I'd note that we are 16 years into the razing and rebuilding of Near Southeast, a time frame which included not only the Housing Bubble and the stadium-related Land Rush but both the post-9/11 recession and the Great Recession of 2008. So, one might reasonably ponder that there could be another 15 years to go, with some "pauses" built in.
I might need a new camera at some point.
UPDATE: Of course, within seconds of posting this, I realized I missed creating a circle for one in-the-future project, so that ups the count to 36. {pause} Or 37. I totally meant 37.